Cleitinho Azevedo maintains a commanding position in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, backed by consistent first-round polling leads of 28–38% since late 2025, including a recent Datafolha survey showing 32% support. His confirmation as the Republicanos nominee in early August 2026, following a period of uncertainty over his candidacy, has consolidated backing among center-right and evangelical voters while leveraging his profile as a sitting senator. The opposition remains fragmented, with Alexandre Kalil and others polling well below 20%, reducing prospects for consolidation ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Trader pricing reflects this sustained polling edge and lack of major shifts in the past month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCleitinho Azevedo 74.2%
Alexandre Kalil 6.8%
Gabriel Azevedo 5.4%
Mateus Simões 4.0%
$360,457 Vol.
$360,457 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
74%
Alexandre Kalil
7%
Gabriel Azevedo
5%
Mateus Simões
4%
Patrus Ananias
3%
Flávio Roscoe
3%
Benoni Mendes
1%
Rodrigo Pacheco
1%
Euclydes Pettersen
1%
Luís Eduardo Falcão
1%
Vittorio Medioli
1%
Nikolas Ferreira
<1%
Gleidson Azevedo
<1%
Aécio Neves
<1%
Marcelo Aro
<1%
Tadeu Leite
<1%
Alexandre Silveira
<1%
Cleitinho Azevedo 74.2%
Alexandre Kalil 6.8%
Gabriel Azevedo 5.4%
Mateus Simões 4.0%
$360,457 Vol.
$360,457 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
$155,600 Vol.
74%
Alexandre Kalil
$37,454 Vol.
7%
Gabriel Azevedo
$8,869 Vol.
5%
Mateus Simões
$31,840 Vol.
4%
Patrus Ananias
$8,944 Vol.
3%
Flávio Roscoe
$9,790 Vol.
3%
Benoni Mendes
$6,953 Vol.
1%
Rodrigo Pacheco
$20,603 Vol.
1%
Euclydes Pettersen
$4,929 Vol.
1%
Luís Eduardo Falcão
$7,252 Vol.
1%
Vittorio Medioli
$5,056 Vol.
1%
Nikolas Ferreira
$8,379 Vol.
<1%
Gleidson Azevedo
$4,715 Vol.
<1%
Aécio Neves
$4,934 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Aro
$33,848 Vol.
<1%
Tadeu Leite
$6,026 Vol.
<1%
Alexandre Silveira
$5,265 Vol.
<1%
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo maintains a commanding position in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, backed by consistent first-round polling leads of 28–38% since late 2025, including a recent Datafolha survey showing 32% support. His confirmation as the Republicanos nominee in early August 2026, following a period of uncertainty over his candidacy, has consolidated backing among center-right and evangelical voters while leveraging his profile as a sitting senator. The opposition remains fragmented, with Alexandre Kalil and others polling well below 20%, reducing prospects for consolidation ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Trader pricing reflects this sustained polling edge and lack of major shifts in the past month.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$360,457End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo maintains a commanding position in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, backed by consistent first-round polling leads of 28–38% since late 2025, including a recent Datafolha survey showing 32% support. His confirmation as the Republicanos nominee in early August 2026, following a period of uncertainty over his candidacy, has consolidated backing among center-right and evangelical voters while leveraging his profile as a sitting senator. The opposition remains fragmented, with Alexandre Kalil and others polling well below 20%, reducing prospects for consolidation ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Trader pricing reflects this sustained polling edge and lack of major shifts in the past month.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$360,457End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleitinho Azevedo maintains a commanding position in the Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, backed by consistent first-round polling leads of 28–38% since late 2025, including a recent Datafolha survey showing 32% support. His confirmation as the Republicanos nominee in early August 2026, following a period of uncertainty over his candidacy, has consolidated backing among center-right and evangelical voters while leveraging his profile as a sitting senator. The opposition remains fragmented, with Alexandre Kalil and others polling well below 20%, reducing prospects for consolidation ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Trader pricing reflects this sustained polling edge and lack of major shifts in the past month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions