João Azevêdo (PSB) holds a commanding lead in the Paraíba Senate race for first place, driven by his recent tenure as governor until resigning in April 2026 to run, which provided high statewide visibility and coalition backing from parties including PSB, PP, and Republicanos. Multiple polls through July 2026 show him ahead of re-election seeker Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) and lower-polling rivals such as Nabor Wanderley, Marcelo Queiroga, and others, reflecting voter familiarity and organizational strength ahead of the October 4 vote for the two open seats. Traders price this dominance at 93 percent, consistent with historical advantages for recent state executives in Brazilian Senate contests. Late-campaign developments, including shifts in alliances, turnout surges among specific regions, or unforeseen candidate controversies, remain the main factors that could realistically alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJoao Azevêdo 93%
Veneziano 4.2%
Nabor 3.3%
João Batista 1.1%
$10,665 Vol.
$10,665 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Joao Azevêdo
93%
Veneziano
4%
Nabor
3%
João Batista
1%
André Gadelha
1%
Major Fábio
1%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Rinaldo Júnior
<1%
Rosilene Santana
<1%
Adriano Trajano
<1%
Joao Azevêdo 93%
Veneziano 4.2%
Nabor 3.3%
João Batista 1.1%
$10,665 Vol.
$10,665 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Joao Azevêdo
$7,332 Vol.
93%
Veneziano
$903 Vol.
4%
Nabor
$348 Vol.
3%
João Batista
$284 Vol.
1%
André Gadelha
$322 Vol.
1%
Major Fábio
$270 Vol.
1%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
$223 Vol.
<1%
Rinaldo Júnior
$272 Vol.
<1%
Rosilene Santana
$346 Vol.
<1%
Adriano Trajano
$363 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).João Azevêdo (PSB) holds a commanding lead in the Paraíba Senate race for first place, driven by his recent tenure as governor until resigning in April 2026 to run, which provided high statewide visibility and coalition backing from parties including PSB, PP, and Republicanos. Multiple polls through July 2026 show him ahead of re-election seeker Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) and lower-polling rivals such as Nabor Wanderley, Marcelo Queiroga, and others, reflecting voter familiarity and organizational strength ahead of the October 4 vote for the two open seats. Traders price this dominance at 93 percent, consistent with historical advantages for recent state executives in Brazilian Senate contests. Late-campaign developments, including shifts in alliances, turnout surges among specific regions, or unforeseen candidate controversies, remain the main factors that could realistically alter the outcome before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volume
$10,665End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).João Azevêdo (PSB) holds a commanding lead in the Paraíba Senate race for first place, driven by his recent tenure as governor until resigning in April 2026 to run, which provided high statewide visibility and coalition backing from parties including PSB, PP, and Republicanos. Multiple polls through July 2026 show him ahead of re-election seeker Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) and lower-polling rivals such as Nabor Wanderley, Marcelo Queiroga, and others, reflecting voter familiarity and organizational strength ahead of the October 4 vote for the two open seats. Traders price this dominance at 93 percent, consistent with historical advantages for recent state executives in Brazilian Senate contests. Late-campaign developments, including shifts in alliances, turnout surges among specific regions, or unforeseen candidate controversies, remain the main factors that could realistically alter the outcome before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$10,665End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...João Azevêdo (PSB) holds a commanding lead in the Paraíba Senate race for first place, driven by his recent tenure as governor until resigning in April 2026 to run, which provided high statewide visibility and coalition backing from parties including PSB, PP, and Republicanos. Multiple polls through July 2026 show him ahead of re-election seeker Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) and lower-polling rivals such as Nabor Wanderley, Marcelo Queiroga, and others, reflecting voter familiarity and organizational strength ahead of the October 4 vote for the two open seats. Traders price this dominance at 93 percent, consistent with historical advantages for recent state executives in Brazilian Senate contests. Late-campaign developments, including shifts in alliances, turnout surges among specific regions, or unforeseen candidate controversies, remain the main factors that could realistically alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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