Zenaide Maia leads trader pricing for second place in the October 4, 2026, Rio Grande do Norte Senate election at 47.5 percent, ahead of Samanda de Lula at 25.5 percent and incumbent Styvenson Valentim at 21.4 percent. Recent August polls show Valentim ahead overall while Maia, Samanda, Rafael Motta, and Coronel Hélio remain tightly grouped for the second seat, reflecting a fragmented field of 13-plus candidates. Party conventions have finalized slates, with alliances and regional voting blocs continuing to shift support among incumbents seeking re-election and challengers backed by national parties. The narrow spreads in current pricing reflect uncertainty over which contender will consolidate enough second-preference votes to secure the remaining vacancy.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZenaide Maia 48%
Samanda de Lula 26%
Styvenson Valentim 21.4%
Rafael Motta 5.8%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Zenaide Maia
48%
Samanda de Lula
26%
Styvenson Valentim
21%
Rafael Motta
7%
Luciana Mandu
5%
Rosália Fernandes
1%
Sonia Godeiro
1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
1%
Gari Wendell Batista
<1%
Linhares Jiboia
<1%
Professor Guilherme
<1%
Tércio Tinôco
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
<1%
Coronel Hélio
<1%
Zenaide Maia 48%
Samanda de Lula 26%
Styvenson Valentim 21.4%
Rafael Motta 5.8%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Zenaide Maia
$1,692 Vol.
48%
Samanda de Lula
$2,490 Vol.
26%
Styvenson Valentim
$1,150 Vol.
21%
Rafael Motta
$683 Vol.
7%
Luciana Mandu
$428 Vol.
5%
Rosália Fernandes
$477 Vol.
1%
Sonia Godeiro
$307 Vol.
1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
$378 Vol.
1%
Gari Wendell Batista
$406 Vol.
<1%
Linhares Jiboia
$355 Vol.
<1%
Professor Guilherme
$315 Vol.
<1%
Tércio Tinôco
$436 Vol.
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
$347 Vol.
<1%
Coronel Hélio
$322 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Zenaide Maia leads trader pricing for second place in the October 4, 2026, Rio Grande do Norte Senate election at 47.5 percent, ahead of Samanda de Lula at 25.5 percent and incumbent Styvenson Valentim at 21.4 percent. Recent August polls show Valentim ahead overall while Maia, Samanda, Rafael Motta, and Coronel Hélio remain tightly grouped for the second seat, reflecting a fragmented field of 13-plus candidates. Party conventions have finalized slates, with alliances and regional voting blocs continuing to shift support among incumbents seeking re-election and challengers backed by national parties. The narrow spreads in current pricing reflect uncertainty over which contender will consolidate enough second-preference votes to secure the remaining vacancy.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Volume
$9,786End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Zenaide Maia leads trader pricing for second place in the October 4, 2026, Rio Grande do Norte Senate election at 47.5 percent, ahead of Samanda de Lula at 25.5 percent and incumbent Styvenson Valentim at 21.4 percent. Recent August polls show Valentim ahead overall while Maia, Samanda, Rafael Motta, and Coronel Hélio remain tightly grouped for the second seat, reflecting a fragmented field of 13-plus candidates. Party conventions have finalized slates, with alliances and regional voting blocs continuing to shift support among incumbents seeking re-election and challengers backed by national parties. The narrow spreads in current pricing reflect uncertainty over which contender will consolidate enough second-preference votes to secure the remaining vacancy.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$9,786End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Zenaide Maia leads trader pricing for second place in the October 4, 2026, Rio Grande do Norte Senate election at 47.5 percent, ahead of Samanda de Lula at 25.5 percent and incumbent Styvenson Valentim at 21.4 percent. Recent August polls show Valentim ahead overall while Maia, Samanda, Rafael Motta, and Coronel Hélio remain tightly grouped for the second seat, reflecting a fragmented field of 13-plus candidates. Party conventions have finalized slates, with alliances and regional voting blocs continuing to shift support among incumbents seeking re-election and challengers backed by national parties. The narrow spreads in current pricing reflect uncertainty over which contender will consolidate enough second-preference votes to secure the remaining vacancy.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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