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icon for Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place

Zenaide Maia 48%

Samanda de Lula 26%

Styvenson Valentim 21.4%

Rafael Motta 6.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Zenaide Maia 48%

Samanda de Lula 26%

Styvenson Valentim 21.4%

Rafael Motta 6.6%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Zenaide Maia

Zenaide Maia

$1,692 Vol.

48%

icon for Samanda de Lula

Samanda de Lula

$2,490 Vol.

26%

icon for Styvenson Valentim

Styvenson Valentim

$1,150 Vol.

21%

icon for Rafael Motta

Rafael Motta

$683 Vol.

7%

icon for Luciana Mandu

Luciana Mandu

$428 Vol.

5%

icon for Rosália Fernandes

Rosália Fernandes

$477 Vol.

1%

icon for Sonia Godeiro

Sonia Godeiro

$307 Vol.

1%

icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

$378 Vol.

1%

icon for Professor Guilherme

Professor Guilherme

$315 Vol.

1%

icon for Gari Wendell Batista

Gari Wendell Batista

$406 Vol.

<1%

icon for Linhares Jiboia

Linhares Jiboia

$355 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tércio Tinôco

Tércio Tinôco

$436 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sandro Pimentel

Sandro Pimentel

$347 Vol.

<1%

icon for Coronel Hélio

Coronel Hélio

$322 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The Rio Grande do Norte Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive because multiple candidates draw comparable support in consolidated first- and second-preference polling, with Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) usually leading overall while Zenaide Maia (PSD), Samanda Alves (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL) cluster closely behind.** Recent July 2026 AtlasIntel data showed Valentim at 21.4% in summed votes, followed by Alves (18.2%), Hélio (15.3%), Motta (14.4%), and Maia (11.2%), with large shares of undecided or blank ballots. Earlier Exatus and Agorasei surveys similarly placed Maia or Alves in contention for second while revealing fluid second-preference flows. Voters select two senators, so positioning depends on how preferences split between first and second choices, party coalitions, and turnout patterns across regions. High indecision and the official campaign period (opened mid-August) have kept probabilities balanced, reflected in trader pricing that assigns Maia the clearest edge for second place while leaving room for others. Further separation could occur from stronger TV/radio exposure, coalition endorsements, or shifts tied to the concurrent gubernatorial contest before the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$9,786
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The Rio Grande do Norte Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive because multiple candidates draw comparable support in consolidated first- and second-preference polling, with Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) usually leading overall while Zenaide Maia (PSD), Samanda Alves (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL) cluster closely behind.** Recent July 2026 AtlasIntel data showed Valentim at 21.4% in summed votes, followed by Alves (18.2%), Hélio (15.3%), Motta (14.4%), and Maia (11.2%), with large shares of undecided or blank ballots. Earlier Exatus and Agorasei surveys similarly placed Maia or Alves in contention for second while revealing fluid second-preference flows. Voters select two senators, so positioning depends on how preferences split between first and second choices, party coalitions, and turnout patterns across regions. High indecision and the official campaign period (opened mid-August) have kept probabilities balanced, reflected in trader pricing that assigns Maia the clearest edge for second place while leaving room for others. Further separation could occur from stronger TV/radio exposure, coalition endorsements, or shifts tied to the concurrent gubernatorial contest before the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$9,786
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zenaide Maia" at 48%, followed by "Samanda de Lula" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" is "Zenaide Maia" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Samanda de Lula" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.