Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the strongest position in the Roraima Senate race for first place, backed by her record as five-term mayor of Boa Vista, prior federal deputy service, and deep local name recognition ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote for two seats. Party conventions in early August confirmed her candidacy alongside a Republicanos alliance supporting Soldado Sampaio for governor, while recent asset filings underscored her financial resources. Hélio Bolsonaro (PL), a Rio de Janeiro federal deputy who relocated his voter registration, and other PL contenders like Nicoletti trail in trader assessments, reflecting the challenges of establishing statewide support as relative newcomers in a field of 13 registered candidates. The market prices align with Surita’s structural advantages in a contest shaped by incumbency turnover and regional alliances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTeresa Surita 67%
Helio Bolsonaro 24%
Nicoletti 3.5%
Rogério Miranda 1.3%
$14,777 Vol.
$14,777 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
67%
Helio Bolsonaro
24%
Nicoletti
4%
Rogério Miranda
1%
Márcio Junqueira
1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
1%
Mario Rocha
1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Helena da Asatur
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Chico Rodrigues
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Teresa Surita 67%
Helio Bolsonaro 24%
Nicoletti 3.5%
Rogério Miranda 1.3%
$14,777 Vol.
$14,777 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
$6,088 Vol.
67%
Helio Bolsonaro
$2,243 Vol.
24%
Nicoletti
$2,552 Vol.
4%
Rogério Miranda
$520 Vol.
1%
Márcio Junqueira
$354 Vol.
1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$340 Vol.
1%
Mario Rocha
$339 Vol.
1%
Pastor Isamar
$393 Vol.
<1%
Helena da Asatur
$363 Vol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$412 Vol.
<1%
Chico Rodrigues
$385 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$404 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$384 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the strongest position in the Roraima Senate race for first place, backed by her record as five-term mayor of Boa Vista, prior federal deputy service, and deep local name recognition ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote for two seats. Party conventions in early August confirmed her candidacy alongside a Republicanos alliance supporting Soldado Sampaio for governor, while recent asset filings underscored her financial resources. Hélio Bolsonaro (PL), a Rio de Janeiro federal deputy who relocated his voter registration, and other PL contenders like Nicoletti trail in trader assessments, reflecting the challenges of establishing statewide support as relative newcomers in a field of 13 registered candidates. The market prices align with Surita’s structural advantages in a contest shaped by incumbency turnover and regional alliances.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$14,777End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the strongest position in the Roraima Senate race for first place, backed by her record as five-term mayor of Boa Vista, prior federal deputy service, and deep local name recognition ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote for two seats. Party conventions in early August confirmed her candidacy alongside a Republicanos alliance supporting Soldado Sampaio for governor, while recent asset filings underscored her financial resources. Hélio Bolsonaro (PL), a Rio de Janeiro federal deputy who relocated his voter registration, and other PL contenders like Nicoletti trail in trader assessments, reflecting the challenges of establishing statewide support as relative newcomers in a field of 13 registered candidates. The market prices align with Surita’s structural advantages in a contest shaped by incumbency turnover and regional alliances.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$14,777End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the strongest position in the Roraima Senate race for first place, backed by her record as five-term mayor of Boa Vista, prior federal deputy service, and deep local name recognition ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote for two seats. Party conventions in early August confirmed her candidacy alongside a Republicanos alliance supporting Soldado Sampaio for governor, while recent asset filings underscored her financial resources. Hélio Bolsonaro (PL), a Rio de Janeiro federal deputy who relocated his voter registration, and other PL contenders like Nicoletti trail in trader assessments, reflecting the challenges of establishing statewide support as relative newcomers in a field of 13 registered candidates. The market prices align with Surita’s structural advantages in a contest shaped by incumbency turnover and regional alliances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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