Teresa Surita (MDB) and Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) lead the implied probabilities for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate contest, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB), Nicoletti (PL), and several others trailing. Thirteen candidates registered by the August 15 deadline for the two seats, creating a fragmented field where no single contender has consolidated broad support. Surita’s long record as Boa Vista mayor and recent asset disclosure contrast with Hélio Bolsonaro’s PL affiliation and national conservative backing, while Rodrigues seeks re-election amid shifting alliances. The tight spread reflects evenly matched regional bases and limited late-campaign data, with separation likely hinging on turnout patterns, last-minute endorsements, or clearer polling signals before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTeresa Surita 32%
Helio Bolsonaro 30.3%
Chico Rodrigues 20%
Nicoletti 8.5%
$15,976 Vol.
$15,976 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
32%
Helio Bolsonaro
30%
Chico Rodrigues
20%
Nicoletti
9%
Helena da Asatur
5%
Mario Rocha
4%
Hiperion de Oliveira
4%
Regina Tio Ivo
4%
Pastor Isamar
3%
Bartô Macuxi
1%
Rogério Miranda
1%
Márcio Junqueira
1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Teresa Surita 32%
Helio Bolsonaro 30.3%
Chico Rodrigues 20%
Nicoletti 8.5%
$15,976 Vol.
$15,976 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
$4,463 Vol.
32%
Helio Bolsonaro
$5,811 Vol.
30%
Chico Rodrigues
$1,876 Vol.
20%
Nicoletti
$2,144 Vol.
9%
Helena da Asatur
$205 Vol.
5%
Mario Rocha
$159 Vol.
4%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$167 Vol.
4%
Regina Tio Ivo
$181 Vol.
4%
Pastor Isamar
$299 Vol.
3%
Bartô Macuxi
$179 Vol.
1%
Rogério Miranda
$175 Vol.
1%
Márcio Junqueira
$168 Vol.
1%
Hilton Xavier
$147 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) and Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) lead the implied probabilities for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate contest, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB), Nicoletti (PL), and several others trailing. Thirteen candidates registered by the August 15 deadline for the two seats, creating a fragmented field where no single contender has consolidated broad support. Surita’s long record as Boa Vista mayor and recent asset disclosure contrast with Hélio Bolsonaro’s PL affiliation and national conservative backing, while Rodrigues seeks re-election amid shifting alliances. The tight spread reflects evenly matched regional bases and limited late-campaign data, with separation likely hinging on turnout patterns, last-minute endorsements, or clearer polling signals before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Volume
$15,976End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) and Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) lead the implied probabilities for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate contest, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB), Nicoletti (PL), and several others trailing. Thirteen candidates registered by the August 15 deadline for the two seats, creating a fragmented field where no single contender has consolidated broad support. Surita’s long record as Boa Vista mayor and recent asset disclosure contrast with Hélio Bolsonaro’s PL affiliation and national conservative backing, while Rodrigues seeks re-election amid shifting alliances. The tight spread reflects evenly matched regional bases and limited late-campaign data, with separation likely hinging on turnout patterns, last-minute endorsements, or clearer polling signals before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$15,976End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita (MDB) and Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) lead the implied probabilities for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate contest, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB), Nicoletti (PL), and several others trailing. Thirteen candidates registered by the August 15 deadline for the two seats, creating a fragmented field where no single contender has consolidated broad support. Surita’s long record as Boa Vista mayor and recent asset disclosure contrast with Hélio Bolsonaro’s PL affiliation and national conservative backing, while Rodrigues seeks re-election amid shifting alliances. The tight spread reflects evenly matched regional bases and limited late-campaign data, with separation likely hinging on turnout patterns, last-minute endorsements, or clearer polling signals before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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