Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina, holds a commanding position in the October 4, 2026, election due to consistent polling leads of 52-55% in recent surveys, well ahead of main challenger João Rodrigues (PSD) at around 20%. His 2022 victory with over 70% in the runoff, combined with party conventions confirming his ticket alongside vice candidate Adriano Silva (Novo) in early August, reinforces trader expectations of a first-round win. Santa Catarina's conservative electorate aligns closely with Mello's platform and PL ties to the Bolsonaro family. Other registered candidates, including Gelson Merisio (PSB) and Marcelo Brigadeiro (Missão), register single-digit support or lower. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp polling reversals remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJorginho Mello 96.4%
João Rodrigues 2.8%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.4%
Décio Lima <1%
$116,080 Vol.
$116,080 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jorginho Mello
96%
João Rodrigues
3%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
1%
Décio Lima
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
<1%
Marcos Vieira
<1%
Adriano Silva
<1%
Gelson Merisio
<1%
Jorginho Mello 96.4%
João Rodrigues 2.8%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.4%
Décio Lima <1%
$116,080 Vol.
$116,080 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jorginho Mello
$27,232 Vol.
96%
João Rodrigues
$2,626 Vol.
3%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
$15,346 Vol.
1%
Décio Lima
$63,791 Vol.
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
$2,031 Vol.
<1%
Marcos Vieira
$1,704 Vol.
<1%
Adriano Silva
$1,494 Vol.
<1%
Gelson Merisio
$1,856 Vol.
<1%
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina, holds a commanding position in the October 4, 2026, election due to consistent polling leads of 52-55% in recent surveys, well ahead of main challenger João Rodrigues (PSD) at around 20%. His 2022 victory with over 70% in the runoff, combined with party conventions confirming his ticket alongside vice candidate Adriano Silva (Novo) in early August, reinforces trader expectations of a first-round win. Santa Catarina's conservative electorate aligns closely with Mello's platform and PL ties to the Bolsonaro family. Other registered candidates, including Gelson Merisio (PSB) and Marcelo Brigadeiro (Missão), register single-digit support or lower. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp polling reversals remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before voting.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Volume
$116,080End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina, holds a commanding position in the October 4, 2026, election due to consistent polling leads of 52-55% in recent surveys, well ahead of main challenger João Rodrigues (PSD) at around 20%. His 2022 victory with over 70% in the runoff, combined with party conventions confirming his ticket alongside vice candidate Adriano Silva (Novo) in early August, reinforces trader expectations of a first-round win. Santa Catarina's conservative electorate aligns closely with Mello's platform and PL ties to the Bolsonaro family. Other registered candidates, including Gelson Merisio (PSB) and Marcelo Brigadeiro (Missão), register single-digit support or lower. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp polling reversals remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before voting.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$116,080End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina, holds a commanding position in the October 4, 2026, election due to consistent polling leads of 52-55% in recent surveys, well ahead of main challenger João Rodrigues (PSD) at around 20%. His 2022 victory with over 70% in the runoff, combined with party conventions confirming his ticket alongside vice candidate Adriano Silva (Novo) in early August, reinforces trader expectations of a first-round win. Santa Catarina's conservative electorate aligns closely with Mello's platform and PL ties to the Bolsonaro family. Other registered candidates, including Gelson Merisio (PSB) and Marcelo Brigadeiro (Missão), register single-digit support or lower. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp polling reversals remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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