Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator and current Senate vice president, maintains a consistent lead in Tocantins polling for one of the two Senate seats contested on October 4, 2026, with recent surveys showing him ahead of challengers amid voter fragmentation. This positioning supports the market's elevated probability for him finishing first. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) ranks as the primary competitor in most estimates, while Gaguim (União) has gained ground in mid-August data following candidate registrations. Irajá Abreu's withdrawal narrowed the field slightly. High undecided shares and the dual-vote system keep outcomes fluid, though Gomes's incumbency and name recognition anchor trader assessments of his frontrunner status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEduardo Gomes 70%
Alexandre Guimarães 13.8%
Gaguim 8.3%
Paulo Mourão <1%
$20,564 Vol.
$20,564 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Gomes
70%
Alexandre Guimarães
14%
Gaguim
8%
Paulo Mourão
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
<1%
Eli Borges
<1%
Nilton Santos
<1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
<1%
Osvany Luz
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
<1%
Ronaldo Dimas
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
<1%
Eduardo Gomes 70%
Alexandre Guimarães 13.8%
Gaguim 8.3%
Paulo Mourão <1%
$20,564 Vol.
$20,564 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Gomes
$12,218 Vol.
70%
Alexandre Guimarães
$2,010 Vol.
14%
Gaguim
$694 Vol.
8%
Paulo Mourão
$538 Vol.
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$582 Vol.
<1%
Eli Borges
$523 Vol.
<1%
Nilton Santos
$629 Vol.
<1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$503 Vol.
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
$593 Vol.
<1%
Osvany Luz
$515 Vol.
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
$593 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Dimas
$610 Vol.
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$554 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator and current Senate vice president, maintains a consistent lead in Tocantins polling for one of the two Senate seats contested on October 4, 2026, with recent surveys showing him ahead of challengers amid voter fragmentation. This positioning supports the market's elevated probability for him finishing first. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) ranks as the primary competitor in most estimates, while Gaguim (União) has gained ground in mid-August data following candidate registrations. Irajá Abreu's withdrawal narrowed the field slightly. High undecided shares and the dual-vote system keep outcomes fluid, though Gomes's incumbency and name recognition anchor trader assessments of his frontrunner status.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volume
$20,564End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator and current Senate vice president, maintains a consistent lead in Tocantins polling for one of the two Senate seats contested on October 4, 2026, with recent surveys showing him ahead of challengers amid voter fragmentation. This positioning supports the market's elevated probability for him finishing first. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) ranks as the primary competitor in most estimates, while Gaguim (União) has gained ground in mid-August data following candidate registrations. Irajá Abreu's withdrawal narrowed the field slightly. High undecided shares and the dual-vote system keep outcomes fluid, though Gomes's incumbency and name recognition anchor trader assessments of his frontrunner status.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$20,564End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator and current Senate vice president, maintains a consistent lead in Tocantins polling for one of the two Senate seats contested on October 4, 2026, with recent surveys showing him ahead of challengers amid voter fragmentation. This positioning supports the market's elevated probability for him finishing first. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) ranks as the primary competitor in most estimates, while Gaguim (União) has gained ground in mid-August data following candidate registrations. Irajá Abreu's withdrawal narrowed the field slightly. High undecided shares and the dual-vote system keep outcomes fluid, though Gomes's incumbency and name recognition anchor trader assessments of his frontrunner status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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