Recent polling in Tocantins shows Eduardo Gomes (PL) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, leaving a fragmented contest for second among Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), Gaguim (União Brasil), Ronaldo Dimas and Vanderlei Luxemburgo (both Podemos), Eli Borges (Republicanos), and Paulo Mourão (PT). Multiple June–August surveys indicate Guimarães holding steady as the primary challenger while Gaguim has gained ground in the latest rounds amid high undecided and blank responses. Candidate registrations closed in mid-August with 13 contenders, and alliances tied to the concurrent gubernatorial race continue to shape visibility and resources. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with Guimarães as the consensus favorite for second but room for shifts from further polling movement or late campaign consolidation before the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlexandre Guimarães 45%
Gaguim 12.0%
Paulo Mourão 12%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 10.1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Guimarães
45%
Gaguim
12%
Paulo Mourão
12%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
10%
Eli Borges
9%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
9%
Nilton Santos
7%
Osvany Luz
2%
Professor Osvaldo
2%
Eduardo Gomes
2%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
2%
Fábio Ribeiro
1%
Ronaldo Dimas
<1%
Alexandre Guimarães 45%
Gaguim 12.0%
Paulo Mourão 12%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 10.1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Guimarães
$4,253 Vol.
45%
Gaguim
$205 Vol.
12%
Paulo Mourão
$1,353 Vol.
12%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$201 Vol.
10%
Eli Borges
$326 Vol.
9%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$313 Vol.
9%
Nilton Santos
$273 Vol.
7%
Osvany Luz
$305 Vol.
2%
Professor Osvaldo
$221 Vol.
2%
Eduardo Gomes
$256 Vol.
2%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$203 Vol.
2%
Fábio Ribeiro
$211 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Dimas
$232 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Tocantins shows Eduardo Gomes (PL) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, leaving a fragmented contest for second among Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), Gaguim (União Brasil), Ronaldo Dimas and Vanderlei Luxemburgo (both Podemos), Eli Borges (Republicanos), and Paulo Mourão (PT). Multiple June–August surveys indicate Guimarães holding steady as the primary challenger while Gaguim has gained ground in the latest rounds amid high undecided and blank responses. Candidate registrations closed in mid-August with 13 contenders, and alliances tied to the concurrent gubernatorial race continue to shape visibility and resources. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with Guimarães as the consensus favorite for second but room for shifts from further polling movement or late campaign consolidation before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volume
$8,352End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Tocantins shows Eduardo Gomes (PL) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, leaving a fragmented contest for second among Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), Gaguim (União Brasil), Ronaldo Dimas and Vanderlei Luxemburgo (both Podemos), Eli Borges (Republicanos), and Paulo Mourão (PT). Multiple June–August surveys indicate Guimarães holding steady as the primary challenger while Gaguim has gained ground in the latest rounds amid high undecided and blank responses. Candidate registrations closed in mid-August with 13 contenders, and alliances tied to the concurrent gubernatorial race continue to shape visibility and resources. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with Guimarães as the consensus favorite for second but room for shifts from further polling movement or late campaign consolidation before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$8,352End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Tocantins shows Eduardo Gomes (PL) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, leaving a fragmented contest for second among Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), Gaguim (União Brasil), Ronaldo Dimas and Vanderlei Luxemburgo (both Podemos), Eli Borges (Republicanos), and Paulo Mourão (PT). Multiple June–August surveys indicate Guimarães holding steady as the primary challenger while Gaguim has gained ground in the latest rounds amid high undecided and blank responses. Candidate registrations closed in mid-August with 13 contenders, and alliances tied to the concurrent gubernatorial race continue to shape visibility and resources. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with Guimarães as the consensus favorite for second but room for shifts from further polling movement or late campaign consolidation before the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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