Recent polling in Acre shows Gladson Cameli leading the Senate race for one of two seats, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among established figures including Mara Rocha, Marcio Bittar, Jorge Viana, and Sérgio Petecão. Multiple surveys from June through August 2026 indicate technical ties or narrow gaps between Rocha, Bittar, and others in the 11-20% range, reflecting divided voter bases across center-right and left-leaning coalitions ahead of the October 4 first round. Candidate registrations, asset disclosures, and coalition formations finalized in recent weeks have reinforced this uncertainty, with no single contender consolidating clear momentum for the runner-up position. Late shifts in turnout, endorsements, or legal challenges could alter the ordering before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMara Rocha 50%
Marcio Bittar 22.3%
Gladson Camelí 16%
Jorge Viana 10.3%
$16,823 Vol.
$16,823 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Mara Rocha
50%
Marcio Bittar
22%
Gladson Camelí
16%
Jorge Viana
10%
Petecão
4%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
<1%
Mara Rocha 50%
Marcio Bittar 22.3%
Gladson Camelí 16%
Jorge Viana 10.3%
$16,823 Vol.
$16,823 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Mara Rocha
$7,313 Vol.
50%
Marcio Bittar
$1,690 Vol.
22%
Gladson Camelí
$4,897 Vol.
16%
Jorge Viana
$515 Vol.
10%
Petecão
$1,327 Vol.
4%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
$416 Vol.
1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
$328 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
$336 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Acre shows Gladson Cameli leading the Senate race for one of two seats, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among established figures including Mara Rocha, Marcio Bittar, Jorge Viana, and Sérgio Petecão. Multiple surveys from June through August 2026 indicate technical ties or narrow gaps between Rocha, Bittar, and others in the 11-20% range, reflecting divided voter bases across center-right and left-leaning coalitions ahead of the October 4 first round. Candidate registrations, asset disclosures, and coalition formations finalized in recent weeks have reinforced this uncertainty, with no single contender consolidating clear momentum for the runner-up position. Late shifts in turnout, endorsements, or legal challenges could alter the ordering before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET
Volume
$16,823End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Acre shows Gladson Cameli leading the Senate race for one of two seats, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among established figures including Mara Rocha, Marcio Bittar, Jorge Viana, and Sérgio Petecão. Multiple surveys from June through August 2026 indicate technical ties or narrow gaps between Rocha, Bittar, and others in the 11-20% range, reflecting divided voter bases across center-right and left-leaning coalitions ahead of the October 4 first round. Candidate registrations, asset disclosures, and coalition formations finalized in recent weeks have reinforced this uncertainty, with no single contender consolidating clear momentum for the runner-up position. Late shifts in turnout, endorsements, or legal challenges could alter the ordering before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$16,823End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Acre shows Gladson Cameli leading the Senate race for one of two seats, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among established figures including Mara Rocha, Marcio Bittar, Jorge Viana, and Sérgio Petecão. Multiple surveys from June through August 2026 indicate technical ties or narrow gaps between Rocha, Bittar, and others in the 11-20% range, reflecting divided voter bases across center-right and left-leaning coalitions ahead of the October 4 first round. Candidate registrations, asset disclosures, and coalition formations finalized in recent weeks have reinforced this uncertainty, with no single contender consolidating clear momentum for the runner-up position. Late shifts in turnout, endorsements, or legal challenges could alter the ordering before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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