Trader consensus on 21°C or 22°C as Amsterdam’s peak temperature today stems from converging high-resolution model runs under stable high pressure and easterly flow. Morning observations near 17–19°C, combined with clear skies and light winds of 7–12 mph, support modest daytime heating consistent with seasonal baselines around 18–20°C. Minor model spread arises from variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of maximum insolation, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied while limiting upside beyond 23°C. Updated guidance through the afternoon will refine the final observed maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
21°C 50%
22°C 47%
23°C 4%
20°C 4%
$24,021 Vol.
$24,021 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
50%
22°C
47%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 50%
22°C 47%
23°C 4%
20°C 4%
$24,021 Vol.
$24,021 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
$365 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$744 Vol.
1%
20°C
$3,886 Vol.
4%
21°C
$5,115 Vol.
50%
22°C
$6,081 Vol.
47%
23°C
$3,226 Vol.
4%
24°C
$1,946 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,668 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$515 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 21°C or 22°C as Amsterdam’s peak temperature today stems from converging high-resolution model runs under stable high pressure and easterly flow. Morning observations near 17–19°C, combined with clear skies and light winds of 7–12 mph, support modest daytime heating consistent with seasonal baselines around 18–20°C. Minor model spread arises from variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of maximum insolation, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied while limiting upside beyond 23°C. Updated guidance through the afternoon will refine the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$24,021End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 21°C or 22°C as Amsterdam’s peak temperature today stems from converging high-resolution model runs under stable high pressure and easterly flow. Morning observations near 17–19°C, combined with clear skies and light winds of 7–12 mph, support modest daytime heating consistent with seasonal baselines around 18–20°C. Minor model spread arises from variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of maximum insolation, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied while limiting upside beyond 23°C. Updated guidance through the afternoon will refine the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,021End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 21°C or 22°C as Amsterdam’s peak temperature today stems from converging high-resolution model runs under stable high pressure and easterly flow. Morning observations near 17–19°C, combined with clear skies and light winds of 7–12 mph, support modest daytime heating consistent with seasonal baselines around 18–20°C. Minor model spread arises from variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of maximum insolation, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied while limiting upside beyond 23°C. Updated guidance through the afternoon will refine the final observed maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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