**Stable high-pressure conditions and easterly flow are keeping Amsterdam’s daytime maximum tightly centered near 21–22°C today.** Official and model forecasts (GFS, Met Office, Météo-France equivalents) converge on a peak of 20–23°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with surface pressure near 1023 hPa and light easterly winds of 10–15 km/h limiting both cloud build-up and strong mixing. Recent days have featured a cooling trend after mid-August warmth (earlier highs reached 34°C), with maxima of 20–21°C on 22–23 August, reinforcing trader confidence that today will not exceed the seasonal late-summer envelope. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Amsterdam station; current model consensus and real-time observations place the most probable outcome squarely in the 21–22°C band, with only modest upside risk to 23°C if insolation exceeds expectations. No significant weather systems are approaching, keeping implied probabilities stable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
22°C 54%
21°C 40%
23°C 9%
20°C 4%
$20,899 Vol.
$20,899 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
33%
22°C
54%
23°C
9%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 54%
21°C 40%
23°C 9%
20°C 4%
$20,899 Vol.
$20,899 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
$365 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,189 Vol.
4%
21°C
$4,535 Vol.
33%
22°C
$5,644 Vol.
54%
23°C
$2,781 Vol.
9%
24°C
$1,549 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,491 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$515 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and easterly flow are keeping Amsterdam’s daytime maximum tightly centered near 21–22°C today.** Official and model forecasts (GFS, Met Office, Météo-France equivalents) converge on a peak of 20–23°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with surface pressure near 1023 hPa and light easterly winds of 10–15 km/h limiting both cloud build-up and strong mixing.
Recent days have featured a cooling trend after mid-August warmth (earlier highs reached 34°C), with maxima of 20–21°C on 22–23 August, reinforcing trader confidence that today will not exceed the seasonal late-summer envelope. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Amsterdam station; current model consensus and real-time observations place the most probable outcome squarely in the 21–22°C band, with only modest upside risk to 23°C if insolation exceeds expectations. No significant weather systems are approaching, keeping implied probabilities stable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$20,899End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and easterly flow are keeping Amsterdam’s daytime maximum tightly centered near 21–22°C today.** Official and model forecasts (GFS, Met Office, Météo-France equivalents) converge on a peak of 20–23°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with surface pressure near 1023 hPa and light easterly winds of 10–15 km/h limiting both cloud build-up and strong mixing.
Recent days have featured a cooling trend after mid-August warmth (earlier highs reached 34°C), with maxima of 20–21°C on 22–23 August, reinforcing trader confidence that today will not exceed the seasonal late-summer envelope. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Amsterdam station; current model consensus and real-time observations place the most probable outcome squarely in the 21–22°C band, with only modest upside risk to 23°C if insolation exceeds expectations. No significant weather systems are approaching, keeping implied probabilities stable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,899End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Stable high-pressure conditions and easterly flow are keeping Amsterdam’s daytime maximum tightly centered near 21–22°C today.** Official and model forecasts (GFS, Met Office, Météo-France equivalents) converge on a peak of 20–23°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with surface pressure near 1023 hPa and light easterly winds of 10–15 km/h limiting both cloud build-up and strong mixing. Recent days have featured a cooling trend after mid-August warmth (earlier highs reached 34°C), with maxima of 20–21°C on 22–23 August, reinforcing trader confidence that today will not exceed the seasonal late-summer envelope. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Amsterdam station; current model consensus and real-time observations place the most probable outcome squarely in the 21–22°C band, with only modest upside risk to 23°C if insolation exceeds expectations. No significant weather systems are approaching, keeping implied probabilities stable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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