National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance currently favors a Denver high of 90–93°F on August 24 under persistent late-summer ridging, light southwesterly flow, and partly cloudy skies with an afternoon thunderstorm chance that could modestly limit peak heating. This consensus aligns with climatological late-August averages near 86°F yet reflects above-normal warmth from upstream high pressure, explaining why traders assign roughly 88% combined implied probability to the two leading bins. Key variables differentiating 90–91°F versus 92–93°F include exact cloud timing, convective coverage, and boundary-layer mixing; updated model runs and real-time observations from NWS Boulder will continue to refine these probabilities through the afternoon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 24?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 24?
90-91°F 49%
92-93°F 40%
88-89°F 12%
94-95°F 3%
NEW
$15,513 Vol.
NEW
$15,513 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
49%
92-93°F
40%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 49%
92-93°F 40%
88-89°F 12%
94-95°F 3%
NEW
$15,513 Vol.
NEW
$15,513 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
79°F or below
$1,740 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,731 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$226 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,396 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,236 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$1,355 Vol.
12%
90-91°F
$2,078 Vol.
49%
92-93°F
$4,103 Vol.
40%
94-95°F
$788 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$528 Vol.
1%
98°F or higher
$331 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance currently favors a Denver high of 90–93°F on August 24 under persistent late-summer ridging, light southwesterly flow, and partly cloudy skies with an afternoon thunderstorm chance that could modestly limit peak heating. This consensus aligns with climatological late-August averages near 86°F yet reflects above-normal warmth from upstream high pressure, explaining why traders assign roughly 88% combined implied probability to the two leading bins. Key variables differentiating 90–91°F versus 92–93°F include exact cloud timing, convective coverage, and boundary-layer mixing; updated model runs and real-time observations from NWS Boulder will continue to refine these probabilities through the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$15,513End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance currently favors a Denver high of 90–93°F on August 24 under persistent late-summer ridging, light southwesterly flow, and partly cloudy skies with an afternoon thunderstorm chance that could modestly limit peak heating. This consensus aligns with climatological late-August averages near 86°F yet reflects above-normal warmth from upstream high pressure, explaining why traders assign roughly 88% combined implied probability to the two leading bins. Key variables differentiating 90–91°F versus 92–93°F include exact cloud timing, convective coverage, and boundary-layer mixing; updated model runs and real-time observations from NWS Boulder will continue to refine these probabilities through the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,513End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance currently favors a Denver high of 90–93°F on August 24 under persistent late-summer ridging, light southwesterly flow, and partly cloudy skies with an afternoon thunderstorm chance that could modestly limit peak heating. This consensus aligns with climatological late-August averages near 86°F yet reflects above-normal warmth from upstream high pressure, explaining why traders assign roughly 88% combined implied probability to the two leading bins. Key variables differentiating 90–91°F versus 92–93°F include exact cloud timing, convective coverage, and boundary-layer mixing; updated model runs and real-time observations from NWS Boulder will continue to refine these probabilities through the afternoon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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