Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for Denver on August 26 shows a high near the seasonal normal of 86°F, with consensus favoring 84–88°F under partly cloudy skies and a moderate chance of afternoon thunderstorms. A weak upper-level trough and northerly flow are limiting daytime heating compared with the hot early-August pattern that produced multiple 100°F+ readings. Surface dew points near 50°F and light winds further cap maximum temperatures, while slight model spread in cloud cover and timing of convection accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 86–87°F bin. Updated NWS forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 26?
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 27%
88-89°F 19%
82-83°F 7%
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
5%
94°F or higher
2%
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 27%
88-89°F 19%
82-83°F 7%
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
5%
94°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for Denver on August 26 shows a high near the seasonal normal of 86°F, with consensus favoring 84–88°F under partly cloudy skies and a moderate chance of afternoon thunderstorms. A weak upper-level trough and northerly flow are limiting daytime heating compared with the hot early-August pattern that produced multiple 100°F+ readings. Surface dew points near 50°F and light winds further cap maximum temperatures, while slight model spread in cloud cover and timing of convection accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 86–87°F bin. Updated NWS forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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