Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other agencies point to a high near 89°F in Miami on August 24 amid scattered morning showers and afternoon thunderstorms, with heat indices near 105°F. Sea-breeze convergence and typical summer convection often cap daytime peaks by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, creating the narrow spread between the leading 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on storm timing and coverage, while climatological averages near 91°F provide context for the tight market-implied odds. Real-time observations from Miami International Airport will determine final resolution as conditions evolve through the afternoon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 24?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 24?
90-91°F 44%
92-93°F 44%
88-89°F 13%
94-95°F 4%
NEW
$17,299 Vol.
NEW
$17,299 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
44%
92-93°F
44%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 44%
92-93°F 44%
88-89°F 13%
94-95°F 4%
NEW
$17,299 Vol.
NEW
$17,299 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
83°F or below
$1,436 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$744 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$2,430 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$2,304 Vol.
13%
90-91°F
$4,300 Vol.
44%
92-93°F
$3,145 Vol.
44%
94-95°F
$1,525 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$649 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$317 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$288 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$160 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other agencies point to a high near 89°F in Miami on August 24 amid scattered morning showers and afternoon thunderstorms, with heat indices near 105°F. Sea-breeze convergence and typical summer convection often cap daytime peaks by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, creating the narrow spread between the leading 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on storm timing and coverage, while climatological averages near 91°F provide context for the tight market-implied odds. Real-time observations from Miami International Airport will determine final resolution as conditions evolve through the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$17,299End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other agencies point to a high near 89°F in Miami on August 24 amid scattered morning showers and afternoon thunderstorms, with heat indices near 105°F. Sea-breeze convergence and typical summer convection often cap daytime peaks by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, creating the narrow spread between the leading 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on storm timing and coverage, while climatological averages near 91°F provide context for the tight market-implied odds. Real-time observations from Miami International Airport will determine final resolution as conditions evolve through the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,299End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other agencies point to a high near 89°F in Miami on August 24 amid scattered morning showers and afternoon thunderstorms, with heat indices near 105°F. Sea-breeze convergence and typical summer convection often cap daytime peaks by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, creating the narrow spread between the leading 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on storm timing and coverage, while climatological averages near 91°F provide context for the tight market-implied odds. Real-time observations from Miami International Airport will determine final resolution as conditions evolve through the afternoon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions