**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a mostly sunny Tuesday with highs in the lower 90s, aligning with the market's tight split between 90–91°F (41.5%) and 92–93°F (50.5%).** Typical late-August conditions in Miami feature southeasterly flow, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze-driven convection that can either suppress or allow peaks near or slightly above the 30-year normal of ~90.6°F. Observed highs the prior day reached 93°F under similar patterns, supporting trader focus on the upper end of the lower-90s range. Key differentiators between the two leading bins include timing and coverage of any showers or thunderstorms (NWS assigns only a 20% chance after 3 p.m.), exact cloud fraction during peak heating hours, and subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture. Clearer skies and delayed convection favor 92–93°F, while earlier or heavier rain-cooled air would cap readings near 90–91°F. Heat-index values near 105°F reflect moisture but do not alter the dry-bulb maximum that resolves the market. With resolution imminent, the near-even odds capture genuine short-term forecast uncertainty in convective timing rather than any major synoptic shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 25?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 25?
92-93°F 51%
90-91°F 42%
88-89°F 6%
94-95°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
42%
92-93°F
51%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 51%
90-91°F 42%
88-89°F 6%
94-95°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
81°F or below
$205 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$442 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$265 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$303 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$615 Vol.
6%
90-91°F
$731 Vol.
42%
92-93°F
$1,418 Vol.
51%
94-95°F
$352 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$234 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$163 Vol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$235 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a mostly sunny Tuesday with highs in the lower 90s, aligning with the market's tight split between 90–91°F (41.5%) and 92–93°F (50.5%).** Typical late-August conditions in Miami feature southeasterly flow, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze-driven convection that can either suppress or allow peaks near or slightly above the 30-year normal of ~90.6°F. Observed highs the prior day reached 93°F under similar patterns, supporting trader focus on the upper end of the lower-90s range.
Key differentiators between the two leading bins include timing and coverage of any showers or thunderstorms (NWS assigns only a 20% chance after 3 p.m.), exact cloud fraction during peak heating hours, and subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture. Clearer skies and delayed convection favor 92–93°F, while earlier or heavier rain-cooled air would cap readings near 90–91°F. Heat-index values near 105°F reflect moisture but do not alter the dry-bulb maximum that resolves the market. With resolution imminent, the near-even odds capture genuine short-term forecast uncertainty in convective timing rather than any major synoptic shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$4,963End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a mostly sunny Tuesday with highs in the lower 90s, aligning with the market's tight split between 90–91°F (41.5%) and 92–93°F (50.5%).** Typical late-August conditions in Miami feature southeasterly flow, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze-driven convection that can either suppress or allow peaks near or slightly above the 30-year normal of ~90.6°F. Observed highs the prior day reached 93°F under similar patterns, supporting trader focus on the upper end of the lower-90s range.
Key differentiators between the two leading bins include timing and coverage of any showers or thunderstorms (NWS assigns only a 20% chance after 3 p.m.), exact cloud fraction during peak heating hours, and subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture. Clearer skies and delayed convection favor 92–93°F, while earlier or heavier rain-cooled air would cap readings near 90–91°F. Heat-index values near 105°F reflect moisture but do not alter the dry-bulb maximum that resolves the market. With resolution imminent, the near-even odds capture genuine short-term forecast uncertainty in convective timing rather than any major synoptic shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,963End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a mostly sunny Tuesday with highs in the lower 90s, aligning with the market's tight split between 90–91°F (41.5%) and 92–93°F (50.5%).** Typical late-August conditions in Miami feature southeasterly flow, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze-driven convection that can either suppress or allow peaks near or slightly above the 30-year normal of ~90.6°F. Observed highs the prior day reached 93°F under similar patterns, supporting trader focus on the upper end of the lower-90s range. Key differentiators between the two leading bins include timing and coverage of any showers or thunderstorms (NWS assigns only a 20% chance after 3 p.m.), exact cloud fraction during peak heating hours, and subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture. Clearer skies and delayed convection favor 92–93°F, while earlier or heavier rain-cooled air would cap readings near 90–91°F. Heat-index values near 105°F reflect moisture but do not alter the dry-bulb maximum that resolves the market. With resolution imminent, the near-even odds capture genuine short-term forecast uncertainty in convective timing rather than any major synoptic shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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