**Forecast consensus across multiple models points to a daily high near 29°C in Milan on August 24, 2026, under stable high pressure with light easterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity levels around 50-60%.** Official and private sources (including WeatherBug, ilMeteo, and globalmeteo) consistently project an afternoon peak of 28–30°C (roughly 82–86°F), with hourly data showing the maximum likely occurring mid-to-late afternoon before any evening instability develops. Light winds and the Po Valley setting support gradual daytime warming without extreme heat advection, while scattered clouds limit full solar insolation and keep the outcome centered on 29°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range: the 63.5% implied probability on 29°C captures the strong model agreement, with the secondary weight on 30°C (22.5%) and 28°C (13.5%) accounting for minor timing or measurement variations at the reference station. Recent 24-hour updates have shown little shift in guidance, reinforcing the current market positioning ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 24?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 24?
29°C 64%
30°C 22%
28°C 13%
31°C or higher 4%
NEW
$13,572 Vol.
NEW
$13,572 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
13%
29°C
64%
30°C
22%
31°C or higher
4%
29°C 64%
30°C 22%
28°C 13%
31°C or higher 4%
NEW
$13,572 Vol.
NEW
$13,572 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$355 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$371 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$419 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$473 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$582 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$629 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,058 Vol.
2%
28°C
$2,776 Vol.
13%
29°C
$3,291 Vol.
64%
30°C
$2,286 Vol.
22%
31°C or higher
$1,331 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus across multiple models points to a daily high near 29°C in Milan on August 24, 2026, under stable high pressure with light easterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity levels around 50-60%.**
Official and private sources (including WeatherBug, ilMeteo, and globalmeteo) consistently project an afternoon peak of 28–30°C (roughly 82–86°F), with hourly data showing the maximum likely occurring mid-to-late afternoon before any evening instability develops. Light winds and the Po Valley setting support gradual daytime warming without extreme heat advection, while scattered clouds limit full solar insolation and keep the outcome centered on 29°C.
Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range: the 63.5% implied probability on 29°C captures the strong model agreement, with the secondary weight on 30°C (22.5%) and 28°C (13.5%) accounting for minor timing or measurement variations at the reference station. Recent 24-hour updates have shown little shift in guidance, reinforcing the current market positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,572End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus across multiple models points to a daily high near 29°C in Milan on August 24, 2026, under stable high pressure with light easterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity levels around 50-60%.**
Official and private sources (including WeatherBug, ilMeteo, and globalmeteo) consistently project an afternoon peak of 28–30°C (roughly 82–86°F), with hourly data showing the maximum likely occurring mid-to-late afternoon before any evening instability develops. Light winds and the Po Valley setting support gradual daytime warming without extreme heat advection, while scattered clouds limit full solar insolation and keep the outcome centered on 29°C.
Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range: the 63.5% implied probability on 29°C captures the strong model agreement, with the secondary weight on 30°C (22.5%) and 28°C (13.5%) accounting for minor timing or measurement variations at the reference station. Recent 24-hour updates have shown little shift in guidance, reinforcing the current market positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,572End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus across multiple models points to a daily high near 29°C in Milan on August 24, 2026, under stable high pressure with light easterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity levels around 50-60%.** Official and private sources (including WeatherBug, ilMeteo, and globalmeteo) consistently project an afternoon peak of 28–30°C (roughly 82–86°F), with hourly data showing the maximum likely occurring mid-to-late afternoon before any evening instability develops. Light winds and the Po Valley setting support gradual daytime warming without extreme heat advection, while scattered clouds limit full solar insolation and keep the outcome centered on 29°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range: the 63.5% implied probability on 29°C captures the strong model agreement, with the secondary weight on 30°C (22.5%) and 28°C (13.5%) accounting for minor timing or measurement variations at the reference station. Recent 24-hour updates have shown little shift in guidance, reinforcing the current market positioning ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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