Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Milan will reach a daily maximum near 29°C on August 24, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and afternoon heating in the Po Valley. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 29°C (67.5%) and 30°C (24.5%), as model runs show peak temperatures climbing to that range before evening thunderstorms develop. Late-summer conditions, including moderate humidity around 50-60% and minimal cloud cover during peak insolation hours, support this narrow outcome window rather than extremes. Earlier August warmth has moderated slightly, with official guidance emphasizing 28-30°C as the most probable range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 24?
29°C 58%
30°C 31%
28°C 9%
31°C or higher 6%
$15,269 Vol.
$15,269 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
58%
30°C
31%
31°C or higher
6%
29°C 58%
30°C 31%
28°C 9%
31°C or higher 6%
$15,269 Vol.
$15,269 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
58%
30°C
31%
31°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Milan will reach a daily maximum near 29°C on August 24, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and afternoon heating in the Po Valley. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 29°C (67.5%) and 30°C (24.5%), as model runs show peak temperatures climbing to that range before evening thunderstorms develop. Late-summer conditions, including moderate humidity around 50-60% and minimal cloud cover during peak insolation hours, support this narrow outcome window rather than extremes. Earlier August warmth has moderated slightly, with official guidance emphasizing 28-30°C as the most probable range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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