Skip to main content
icon for Highest temperature in NYC on August 24?

Highest temperature in NYC on August 24?

icon for Highest temperature in NYC on August 24?

Highest temperature in NYC on August 24?

Aug 24

Aug 25

Aug 24

Aug 25

80-81°F 56%

82-83°F 32%

78-79°F 12%

76-77°F 2%

Polymarket
NEW

$36,335 Vol.

80-81°F 56%

82-83°F 32%

78-79°F 12%

76-77°F 2%

Polymarket
NEW

$36,335 Vol.

67°F or below

$78 Vol.

<1%

68-69°F

$78 Vol.

<1%

70-71°F

$78 Vol.

<1%

72-73°F

$334 Vol.

<1%

74-75°F

$3,056 Vol.

<1%

76-77°F

$3,584 Vol.

2%

78-79°F

$6,663 Vol.

12%

80-81°F

$6,244 Vol.

56%

82-83°F

$4,119 Vol.

32%

84-85°F

$8,925 Vol.

<1%

86°F or higher

$3,176 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models point to sunny skies, southwest winds around 5-10 mph, and a high near 80-82°F for New York City on August 24, 2026, following a clear, lower-humidity night with lows in the mid-60s. This aligns with the seasonal average high of 82.3°F and recent model consensus showing stable high pressure without significant warming or cooling influences. Trader positioning around the 80-81°F and 82-83°F ranges reflects this consensus from real-time observational data and short-range guidance, while lower-probability outcomes account for minor forecast uncertainty in peak afternoon readings at the resolution station.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,335
End Date
Aug 24, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models point to sunny skies, southwest winds around 5-10 mph, and a high near 80-82°F for New York City on August 24, 2026, following a clear, lower-humidity night with lows in the mid-60s. This aligns with the seasonal average high of 82.3°F and recent model consensus showing stable high pressure without significant warming or cooling influences. Trader positioning around the 80-81°F and 82-83°F ranges reflects this consensus from real-time observational data and short-range guidance, while lower-probability outcomes account for minor forecast uncertainty in peak afternoon readings at the resolution station.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,335
End Date
Aug 24, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Related

icon for Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 25?

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 25?

45%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 24?

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 24?

64%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on August 25?

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on August 25?

35%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in NYC on August 24?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "80-81°F" at 56%, followed by "82-83°F" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in NYC on August 24?" has generated $36.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in NYC on August 24?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in NYC on August 24?" is "80-81°F" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "82-83°F" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in NYC on August 24?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.