**Market-implied odds strongly favor a daily high of 31°C in Qingdao on August 24, 2026, at 96%.** This positioning reflects consistent official and model guidance showing afternoon peaks near 29–32°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow and high humidity. Multiple forecasts, including local meteorological updates and international models, converge on maxima in the low 30s Celsius, consistent with typical late-summer conditions for the coastal Shandong region where sea breezes moderate extremes. Real-time observations through midday have remained below 30°C with limited convective development, supporting the narrow spread around 31°C. A realistic challenge would require either an unexpected late-day heat surge exceeding model consensus or a station-specific measurement anomaly outside the 30–32°C range; resolution hinges on final verified readings from authoritative Chinese meteorological stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
31°C 99%
32°C 2%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$20,894 Vol.
$20,894 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
99%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99%
32°C 2%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$20,894 Vol.
$20,894 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
$76 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$76 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$76 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$663 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$769 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,049 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,110 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,223 Vol.
99%
32°C
$3,872 Vol.
2%
33°C
$2,801 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$3,179 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor a daily high of 31°C in Qingdao on August 24, 2026, at 96%.** This positioning reflects consistent official and model guidance showing afternoon peaks near 29–32°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow and high humidity. Multiple forecasts, including local meteorological updates and international models, converge on maxima in the low 30s Celsius, consistent with typical late-summer conditions for the coastal Shandong region where sea breezes moderate extremes. Real-time observations through midday have remained below 30°C with limited convective development, supporting the narrow spread around 31°C. A realistic challenge would require either an unexpected late-day heat surge exceeding model consensus or a station-specific measurement anomaly outside the 30–32°C range; resolution hinges on final verified readings from authoritative Chinese meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$20,894End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor a daily high of 31°C in Qingdao on August 24, 2026, at 96%.** This positioning reflects consistent official and model guidance showing afternoon peaks near 29–32°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow and high humidity. Multiple forecasts, including local meteorological updates and international models, converge on maxima in the low 30s Celsius, consistent with typical late-summer conditions for the coastal Shandong region where sea breezes moderate extremes. Real-time observations through midday have remained below 30°C with limited convective development, supporting the narrow spread around 31°C. A realistic challenge would require either an unexpected late-day heat surge exceeding model consensus or a station-specific measurement anomaly outside the 30–32°C range; resolution hinges on final verified readings from authoritative Chinese meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,894End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds strongly favor a daily high of 31°C in Qingdao on August 24, 2026, at 96%.** This positioning reflects consistent official and model guidance showing afternoon peaks near 29–32°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly flow and high humidity. Multiple forecasts, including local meteorological updates and international models, converge on maxima in the low 30s Celsius, consistent with typical late-summer conditions for the coastal Shandong region where sea breezes moderate extremes. Real-time observations through midday have remained below 30°C with limited convective development, supporting the narrow spread around 31°C. A realistic challenge would require either an unexpected late-day heat surge exceeding model consensus or a station-specific measurement anomaly outside the 30–32°C range; resolution hinges on final verified readings from authoritative Chinese meteorological stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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