Forecast models and observational data from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions indicate Qingdao’s peak temperature on August 24 will reach 31°C, consistent with the market’s 94.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity are moderating daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 30–31°C, while recent days have shown stable highs without evidence of heatwave intensification. Official station readings, typically resolving these markets, align with numerical guidance projecting a narrow range around this threshold. A realistic shift could occur only if unforecasted clear-sky radiative heating or localized measurement differences push the daily maximum to 32°C or higher, though current atmospheric patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
31°C 97%
32°C 5%
33°C <1%
34°C or higher <1%
$19,923 Vol.
$19,923 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
97%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 97%
32°C 5%
33°C <1%
34°C or higher <1%
$19,923 Vol.
$19,923 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
$76 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$76 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$76 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$663 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$769 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,049 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,110 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,781 Vol.
97%
32°C
$3,597 Vol.
5%
33°C
$2,547 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$3,179 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and observational data from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions indicate Qingdao’s peak temperature on August 24 will reach 31°C, consistent with the market’s 94.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity are moderating daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 30–31°C, while recent days have shown stable highs without evidence of heatwave intensification. Official station readings, typically resolving these markets, align with numerical guidance projecting a narrow range around this threshold. A realistic shift could occur only if unforecasted clear-sky radiative heating or localized measurement differences push the daily maximum to 32°C or higher, though current atmospheric patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$19,923End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and observational data from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions indicate Qingdao’s peak temperature on August 24 will reach 31°C, consistent with the market’s 94.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity are moderating daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 30–31°C, while recent days have shown stable highs without evidence of heatwave intensification. Official station readings, typically resolving these markets, align with numerical guidance projecting a narrow range around this threshold. A realistic shift could occur only if unforecasted clear-sky radiative heating or localized measurement differences push the daily maximum to 32°C or higher, though current atmospheric patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,923End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and observational data from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions indicate Qingdao’s peak temperature on August 24 will reach 31°C, consistent with the market’s 94.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity are moderating daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 30–31°C, while recent days have shown stable highs without evidence of heatwave intensification. Official station readings, typically resolving these markets, align with numerical guidance projecting a narrow range around this threshold. A realistic shift could occur only if unforecasted clear-sky radiative heating or localized measurement differences push the daily maximum to 32°C or higher, though current atmospheric patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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