Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration place the daytime maximum for Seoul and Incheon near 31°C on August 24, 2026, with observed readings and model guidance showing temperatures climbing into the low 30s under partly cloudy skies and typical summer humidity. This consensus, reinforced by recent short-range model runs and station data, has driven the near-certain market pricing for the 31°C outcome. A brief shift in steering winds or an unexpected convective cell could push the peak a degree higher or keep it capped near 30°C, though current atmospheric conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 24?
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$72,600 Vol.
$72,600 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$72,600 Vol.
$72,600 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration place the daytime maximum for Seoul and Incheon near 31°C on August 24, 2026, with observed readings and model guidance showing temperatures climbing into the low 30s under partly cloudy skies and typical summer humidity. This consensus, reinforced by recent short-range model runs and station data, has driven the near-certain market pricing for the 31°C outcome. A brief shift in steering winds or an unexpected convective cell could push the peak a degree higher or keep it capped near 30°C, though current atmospheric conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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