Forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C on August 24 in Helsinki, driven by ongoing northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the Baltic region. Persistent cloud cover will limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while surface winds of 5–8 m/s reduce the chance of sharp temperature drops. This setup aligns closely with the long-term average low of 12.6°C, though slight model spread in dew point and boundary-layer mixing creates uncertainty between the 11°C and 13°C bins that dominate market-implied odds. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs tonight will refine the exact overnight minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on August 24?
8°C or below 66%
11°C 37%
13°C 36%
12°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
8°C or below
66%
9°C
18%
10°C
19%
11°C
28%
12°C
22%
13°C
19%
14°C
2%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
8°C or below 66%
11°C 37%
13°C 36%
12°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
8°C or below
$69 Vol.
66%
9°C
$6 Vol.
18%
10°C
$6 Vol.
19%
11°C
$5 Vol.
28%
12°C
$0 Vol.
22%
13°C
$14 Vol.
19%
14°C
$69 Vol.
2%
15°C
$78 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$145 Vol.
1%
17°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C on August 24 in Helsinki, driven by ongoing northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the Baltic region. Persistent cloud cover will limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while surface winds of 5–8 m/s reduce the chance of sharp temperature drops. This setup aligns closely with the long-term average low of 12.6°C, though slight model spread in dew point and boundary-layer mixing creates uncertainty between the 11°C and 13°C bins that dominate market-implied odds. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs tonight will refine the exact overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$402End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C on August 24 in Helsinki, driven by ongoing northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the Baltic region. Persistent cloud cover will limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while surface winds of 5–8 m/s reduce the chance of sharp temperature drops. This setup aligns closely with the long-term average low of 12.6°C, though slight model spread in dew point and boundary-layer mixing creates uncertainty between the 11°C and 13°C bins that dominate market-implied odds. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs tonight will refine the exact overnight minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$402End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C on August 24 in Helsinki, driven by ongoing northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the Baltic region. Persistent cloud cover will limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while surface winds of 5–8 m/s reduce the chance of sharp temperature drops. This setup aligns closely with the long-term average low of 12.6°C, though slight model spread in dew point and boundary-layer mixing creates uncertainty between the 11°C and 13°C bins that dominate market-implied odds. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs tonight will refine the exact overnight minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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