Persistent rain and thunderstorms from a broad low-pressure trough and nearby tropical systems over the South China Sea are the main factors capping Shenzhen’s daytime heating on August 24, with official forecasts consistently showing maxima of 31–32 °C amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity (70–95 %), and light southwest winds. These conditions suppress solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping the peak temperature tightly clustered between 31 °C and 32 °C and explaining the near-even market split. Recent model runs and local observations confirm minimal deviation from this range, while urban heat-island effects provide only marginal upward bias under the prevailing overcast skies. Resolution hinges on whether afternoon convective cells intensify or clear earlier than expected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
32°C 45%
31°C 34%
33°C 17%
34°C 5%
NEW
$34,343 Vol.
NEW
$34,343 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
34%
32°C
45%
33°C
17%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 45%
31°C 34%
33°C 17%
34°C 5%
NEW
$34,343 Vol.
NEW
$34,343 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$384 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,090 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,318 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,276 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,438 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$7,714 Vol.
34%
32°C
$2,862 Vol.
45%
33°C
$2,112 Vol.
17%
34°C
$2,663 Vol.
5%
35°C or higher
$4,993 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and thunderstorms from a broad low-pressure trough and nearby tropical systems over the South China Sea are the main factors capping Shenzhen’s daytime heating on August 24, with official forecasts consistently showing maxima of 31–32 °C amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity (70–95 %), and light southwest winds. These conditions suppress solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping the peak temperature tightly clustered between 31 °C and 32 °C and explaining the near-even market split. Recent model runs and local observations confirm minimal deviation from this range, while urban heat-island effects provide only marginal upward bias under the prevailing overcast skies. Resolution hinges on whether afternoon convective cells intensify or clear earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$34,343End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and thunderstorms from a broad low-pressure trough and nearby tropical systems over the South China Sea are the main factors capping Shenzhen’s daytime heating on August 24, with official forecasts consistently showing maxima of 31–32 °C amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity (70–95 %), and light southwest winds. These conditions suppress solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping the peak temperature tightly clustered between 31 °C and 32 °C and explaining the near-even market split. Recent model runs and local observations confirm minimal deviation from this range, while urban heat-island effects provide only marginal upward bias under the prevailing overcast skies. Resolution hinges on whether afternoon convective cells intensify or clear earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,343End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and thunderstorms from a broad low-pressure trough and nearby tropical systems over the South China Sea are the main factors capping Shenzhen’s daytime heating on August 24, with official forecasts consistently showing maxima of 31–32 °C amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity (70–95 %), and light southwest winds. These conditions suppress solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping the peak temperature tightly clustered between 31 °C and 32 °C and explaining the near-even market split. Recent model runs and local observations confirm minimal deviation from this range, while urban heat-island effects provide only marginal upward bias under the prevailing overcast skies. Resolution hinges on whether afternoon convective cells intensify or clear earlier than expected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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