Trader consensus has locked onto a 31°C maximum for Taipei on August 24 because real-time observations and the final Central Weather Administration forecast confirm the peak at the Taipei Songshan Airport station under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated humidity, and evaporative cooling from precipitation have capped afternoon heating, aligning with ensemble guidance and the station’s late-August climatology near 32°C. This produces a narrow uncertainty band typical of same-day verification, with minimal probability assigned to 32°C or higher absent unexpected clearing or model error. Resolution awaits official NOAA confirmation of the daily maximum, leaving scant scope for revision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
31°C 100.0%
28°C <1%
32°C or higher <1%
22°C or below <1%
$163,502 Vol.
$163,502 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
28°C <1%
32°C or higher <1%
22°C or below <1%
$163,502 Vol.
$163,502 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$19,382 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,836 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,288 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,023 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,936 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$12,304 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$38,723 Vol.
1%
29°C
$25,433 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$26,247 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$11,030 Vol.
100%
32°C or higher
$10,666 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked onto a 31°C maximum for Taipei on August 24 because real-time observations and the final Central Weather Administration forecast confirm the peak at the Taipei Songshan Airport station under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated humidity, and evaporative cooling from precipitation have capped afternoon heating, aligning with ensemble guidance and the station’s late-August climatology near 32°C. This produces a narrow uncertainty band typical of same-day verification, with minimal probability assigned to 32°C or higher absent unexpected clearing or model error. Resolution awaits official NOAA confirmation of the daily maximum, leaving scant scope for revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$163,502End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked onto a 31°C maximum for Taipei on August 24 because real-time observations and the final Central Weather Administration forecast confirm the peak at the Taipei Songshan Airport station under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated humidity, and evaporative cooling from precipitation have capped afternoon heating, aligning with ensemble guidance and the station’s late-August climatology near 32°C. This produces a narrow uncertainty band typical of same-day verification, with minimal probability assigned to 32°C or higher absent unexpected clearing or model error. Resolution awaits official NOAA confirmation of the daily maximum, leaving scant scope for revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$163,502End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has locked onto a 31°C maximum for Taipei on August 24 because real-time observations and the final Central Weather Administration forecast confirm the peak at the Taipei Songshan Airport station under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated humidity, and evaporative cooling from precipitation have capped afternoon heating, aligning with ensemble guidance and the station’s late-August climatology near 32°C. This produces a narrow uncertainty band typical of same-day verification, with minimal probability assigned to 32°C or higher absent unexpected clearing or model error. Resolution awaits official NOAA confirmation of the daily maximum, leaving scant scope for revision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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