Current forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a high near 24–25°C for Toronto on August 25, driven by a mix of sun and cloud with limited warming from onshore flow and possible afternoon showers. This consensus, backed by recent model runs showing modest diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, positions 24°C as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability while supporting 25°C at 29%. Historical August averages around 24–26°C and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or clear skies reduce upside potential, though any last-minute shift in steering patterns or reduced cloud cover could elevate readings toward 26°C. Traders are closely monitoring updated NHC-adjacent guidance and local observations ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Toronto on August 25?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 25?
24°C 52%
25°C 29%
23°C 12%
26°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
12%
24°C
52%
25°C
29%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 52%
25°C 29%
23°C 12%
26°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
19°C or below
$305 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$280 Vol.
1%
21°C
$113 Vol.
1%
22°C
$229 Vol.
3%
23°C
$511 Vol.
12%
24°C
$779 Vol.
52%
25°C
$165 Vol.
29%
26°C
$109 Vol.
6%
27°C
$81 Vol.
1%
28°C
$124 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$180 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a high near 24–25°C for Toronto on August 25, driven by a mix of sun and cloud with limited warming from onshore flow and possible afternoon showers. This consensus, backed by recent model runs showing modest diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, positions 24°C as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability while supporting 25°C at 29%. Historical August averages around 24–26°C and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or clear skies reduce upside potential, though any last-minute shift in steering patterns or reduced cloud cover could elevate readings toward 26°C. Traders are closely monitoring updated NHC-adjacent guidance and local observations ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,878End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a high near 24–25°C for Toronto on August 25, driven by a mix of sun and cloud with limited warming from onshore flow and possible afternoon showers. This consensus, backed by recent model runs showing modest diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, positions 24°C as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability while supporting 25°C at 29%. Historical August averages around 24–26°C and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or clear skies reduce upside potential, though any last-minute shift in steering patterns or reduced cloud cover could elevate readings toward 26°C. Traders are closely monitoring updated NHC-adjacent guidance and local observations ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,878End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a high near 24–25°C for Toronto on August 25, driven by a mix of sun and cloud with limited warming from onshore flow and possible afternoon showers. This consensus, backed by recent model runs showing modest diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, positions 24°C as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability while supporting 25°C at 29%. Historical August averages around 24–26°C and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or clear skies reduce upside potential, though any last-minute shift in steering patterns or reduced cloud cover could elevate readings toward 26°C. Traders are closely monitoring updated NHC-adjacent guidance and local observations ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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