Recent observational data and ensemble forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Warsaw's peak temperature on August 24 will likely settle near 18–19 °C, driven by a stable high-pressure system delivering mild westerly flow with limited daytime heating. Slight differences between these leading outcomes hinge on variables such as exact cloud-cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and localized wind shifts that can alter surface energy balance by 1 °C. Historical August climatology for the region shows average highs around 22–23 °C, so current cooler conditions reflect a transient cooler air mass rather than seasonal norms. Traders closely monitor afternoon updates from national meteorological services, as any deviation in model consensus on maximum solar insolation or advection patterns could tip resolution between the two dominant bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 24?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 24?
18°C 46%
19°C 41%
17°C 5%
20°C 5%
$11,413 Vol.
$11,413 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
46%
19°C
41%
20°C
5%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
18°C 46%
19°C 41%
17°C 5%
20°C 5%
$11,413 Vol.
$11,413 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
$461 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$328 Vol.
1%
17°C
$694 Vol.
5%
18°C
$1,625 Vol.
46%
19°C
$2,433 Vol.
41%
20°C
$3,012 Vol.
5%
21°C
$1,111 Vol.
2%
22°C
$326 Vol.
1%
23°C
$316 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$543 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$660 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and ensemble forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Warsaw's peak temperature on August 24 will likely settle near 18–19 °C, driven by a stable high-pressure system delivering mild westerly flow with limited daytime heating. Slight differences between these leading outcomes hinge on variables such as exact cloud-cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and localized wind shifts that can alter surface energy balance by 1 °C. Historical August climatology for the region shows average highs around 22–23 °C, so current cooler conditions reflect a transient cooler air mass rather than seasonal norms. Traders closely monitor afternoon updates from national meteorological services, as any deviation in model consensus on maximum solar insolation or advection patterns could tip resolution between the two dominant bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$11,413End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and ensemble forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Warsaw's peak temperature on August 24 will likely settle near 18–19 °C, driven by a stable high-pressure system delivering mild westerly flow with limited daytime heating. Slight differences between these leading outcomes hinge on variables such as exact cloud-cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and localized wind shifts that can alter surface energy balance by 1 °C. Historical August climatology for the region shows average highs around 22–23 °C, so current cooler conditions reflect a transient cooler air mass rather than seasonal norms. Traders closely monitor afternoon updates from national meteorological services, as any deviation in model consensus on maximum solar insolation or advection patterns could tip resolution between the two dominant bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,413End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data and ensemble forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Warsaw's peak temperature on August 24 will likely settle near 18–19 °C, driven by a stable high-pressure system delivering mild westerly flow with limited daytime heating. Slight differences between these leading outcomes hinge on variables such as exact cloud-cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and localized wind shifts that can alter surface energy balance by 1 °C. Historical August climatology for the region shows average highs around 22–23 °C, so current cooler conditions reflect a transient cooler air mass rather than seasonal norms. Traders closely monitor afternoon updates from national meteorological services, as any deviation in model consensus on maximum solar insolation or advection patterns could tip resolution between the two dominant bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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