Recent forecasts from models such as ECMWF and observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management indicate a cooler-than-average air mass over Warsaw on August 24, 2026, with daytime maxima expected near 18°C amid variable cloud cover, light showers, and northerly flow. This aligns with late-August climatology where typical highs reach 22–23°C but current steering patterns and reduced insolation suppress peaks. Trader consensus reflected in the 67.5% implied probability for 18°C and 28.5% for 19°C incorporates these model runs and real-time station data, with minimal odds on 20°C or higher underscoring limited warming potential before evening cooling. Updated guidance later today could refine resolution around official maximum readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 24?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 24?
18°C 68%
19°C 38%
20°C 4%
21°C 2%
$21,461 Vol.
$21,461 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
60%
19°C
37%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
18°C 68%
19°C 38%
20°C 4%
21°C 2%
$21,461 Vol.
$21,461 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
$461 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,036 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,879 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5,030 Vol.
60%
19°C
$3,376 Vol.
37%
20°C
$5,558 Vol.
4%
21°C
$1,810 Vol.
2%
22°C
$791 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$316 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$543 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$660 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as ECMWF and observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management indicate a cooler-than-average air mass over Warsaw on August 24, 2026, with daytime maxima expected near 18°C amid variable cloud cover, light showers, and northerly flow. This aligns with late-August climatology where typical highs reach 22–23°C but current steering patterns and reduced insolation suppress peaks. Trader consensus reflected in the 67.5% implied probability for 18°C and 28.5% for 19°C incorporates these model runs and real-time station data, with minimal odds on 20°C or higher underscoring limited warming potential before evening cooling. Updated guidance later today could refine resolution around official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$21,461End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as ECMWF and observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management indicate a cooler-than-average air mass over Warsaw on August 24, 2026, with daytime maxima expected near 18°C amid variable cloud cover, light showers, and northerly flow. This aligns with late-August climatology where typical highs reach 22–23°C but current steering patterns and reduced insolation suppress peaks. Trader consensus reflected in the 67.5% implied probability for 18°C and 28.5% for 19°C incorporates these model runs and real-time station data, with minimal odds on 20°C or higher underscoring limited warming potential before evening cooling. Updated guidance later today could refine resolution around official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,461End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as ECMWF and observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management indicate a cooler-than-average air mass over Warsaw on August 24, 2026, with daytime maxima expected near 18°C amid variable cloud cover, light showers, and northerly flow. This aligns with late-August climatology where typical highs reach 22–23°C but current steering patterns and reduced insolation suppress peaks. Trader consensus reflected in the 67.5% implied probability for 18°C and 28.5% for 19°C incorporates these model runs and real-time station data, with minimal odds on 20°C or higher underscoring limited warming potential before evening cooling. Updated guidance later today could refine resolution around official maximum readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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