Official forecasts from MetService and supporting models indicate Wellington will reach a daytime maximum of 15°C on August 24 under mainly fine conditions with northwesterly winds. This aligns with typical mid-winter climatology for the region, where highs average near 14°C, and recent NIWA outlooks showing near-average to slightly above-average temperatures for the east of the North Island. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability for exactly 15°C reflects strong model agreement on peak readings at official stations, with minimal spread in ensemble guidance. A realistic shift could occur from unexpected afternoon cloud cover, stronger southerly changes, or localized station variations that cap the high at 14°C or push it to 16°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 24?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 24?
15°C 99.7%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$57,714 Vol.
$57,714 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99.7%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$57,714 Vol.
$57,714 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$364 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$344 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$572 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,702 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$13,494 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$14,021 Vol.
100%
16°C
$10,003 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$8,261 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5,386 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$2,191 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and supporting models indicate Wellington will reach a daytime maximum of 15°C on August 24 under mainly fine conditions with northwesterly winds. This aligns with typical mid-winter climatology for the region, where highs average near 14°C, and recent NIWA outlooks showing near-average to slightly above-average temperatures for the east of the North Island. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability for exactly 15°C reflects strong model agreement on peak readings at official stations, with minimal spread in ensemble guidance. A realistic shift could occur from unexpected afternoon cloud cover, stronger southerly changes, or localized station variations that cap the high at 14°C or push it to 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$57,714End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and supporting models indicate Wellington will reach a daytime maximum of 15°C on August 24 under mainly fine conditions with northwesterly winds. This aligns with typical mid-winter climatology for the region, where highs average near 14°C, and recent NIWA outlooks showing near-average to slightly above-average temperatures for the east of the North Island. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability for exactly 15°C reflects strong model agreement on peak readings at official stations, with minimal spread in ensemble guidance. A realistic shift could occur from unexpected afternoon cloud cover, stronger southerly changes, or localized station variations that cap the high at 14°C or push it to 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57,714End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from MetService and supporting models indicate Wellington will reach a daytime maximum of 15°C on August 24 under mainly fine conditions with northwesterly winds. This aligns with typical mid-winter climatology for the region, where highs average near 14°C, and recent NIWA outlooks showing near-average to slightly above-average temperatures for the east of the North Island. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability for exactly 15°C reflects strong model agreement on peak readings at official stations, with minimal spread in ensemble guidance. A realistic shift could occur from unexpected afternoon cloud cover, stronger southerly changes, or localized station variations that cap the high at 14°C or push it to 16°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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