Current forecasts for Wellington indicate clear skies and light-to-moderate northwest winds overnight into August 24, supporting radiational cooling under stable high pressure that favors minimum temperatures near 8–9 °C. Model consensus and recent observational trends point to overnight lows bottoming out between 7 °C and 10 °C, with the precise value hinging on boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and any late-evening cloud intrusions that could limit cooling. Wellington’s coastal and hilly terrain introduces microclimate variability that adds uncertainty to the exact airport or central-station reading used for resolution. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 7–9 °C because these outcomes align with both climatological normals for late winter and the narrow range of current numerical guidance, leaving room for small forecast shifts before the overnight minimum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wellington on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 24?
7°C 52%
8°C 31%
9°C 28%
5°C or below 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
5°C or below
2%
6°C
1%
7°C
52%
8°C
31%
9°C
28%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
7°C 52%
8°C 31%
9°C 28%
5°C or below 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
5°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
6°C
$74 Vol.
1%
7°C
$84 Vol.
52%
8°C
$0 Vol.
31%
9°C
$0 Vol.
28%
10°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$337 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$484 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$481 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Wellington indicate clear skies and light-to-moderate northwest winds overnight into August 24, supporting radiational cooling under stable high pressure that favors minimum temperatures near 8–9 °C. Model consensus and recent observational trends point to overnight lows bottoming out between 7 °C and 10 °C, with the precise value hinging on boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and any late-evening cloud intrusions that could limit cooling. Wellington’s coastal and hilly terrain introduces microclimate variability that adds uncertainty to the exact airport or central-station reading used for resolution. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 7–9 °C because these outcomes align with both climatological normals for late winter and the narrow range of current numerical guidance, leaving room for small forecast shifts before the overnight minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,342End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Wellington indicate clear skies and light-to-moderate northwest winds overnight into August 24, supporting radiational cooling under stable high pressure that favors minimum temperatures near 8–9 °C. Model consensus and recent observational trends point to overnight lows bottoming out between 7 °C and 10 °C, with the precise value hinging on boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and any late-evening cloud intrusions that could limit cooling. Wellington’s coastal and hilly terrain introduces microclimate variability that adds uncertainty to the exact airport or central-station reading used for resolution. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 7–9 °C because these outcomes align with both climatological normals for late winter and the narrow range of current numerical guidance, leaving room for small forecast shifts before the overnight minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,342End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Wellington indicate clear skies and light-to-moderate northwest winds overnight into August 24, supporting radiational cooling under stable high pressure that favors minimum temperatures near 8–9 °C. Model consensus and recent observational trends point to overnight lows bottoming out between 7 °C and 10 °C, with the precise value hinging on boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and any late-evening cloud intrusions that could limit cooling. Wellington’s coastal and hilly terrain introduces microclimate variability that adds uncertainty to the exact airport or central-station reading used for resolution. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 7–9 °C because these outcomes align with both climatological normals for late winter and the narrow range of current numerical guidance, leaving room for small forecast shifts before the overnight minimum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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