Current forecasts from models including AccuWeather and Time and Date project a daytime high near 33°C for Zhengzhou on August 25, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass typical of late-summer conditions in the North China Plain. High humidity and possible isolated thunderstorms or showers may limit full solar heating and cap the peak, while light easterly winds offer minimal cooling. These conditions place the highest probability on outcomes of 31–33°C, aligning with the market-implied 77.5% chance for 31°C or higher. Historical August averages near 32–33°C provide context, though day-to-day variability from cloud cover or precipitation introduces uncertainty ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
31°C 56%
25°C 8%
30°C 4%
22°C or below 3%
22°C or below
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
56%
32°C or higher
50%
31°C 56%
25°C 8%
30°C 4%
22°C or below 3%
22°C or below
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
56%
32°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models including AccuWeather and Time and Date project a daytime high near 33°C for Zhengzhou on August 25, driven by a lingering warm, humid air mass typical of late-summer conditions in the North China Plain. High humidity and possible isolated thunderstorms or showers may limit full solar heating and cap the peak, while light easterly winds offer minimal cooling. These conditions place the highest probability on outcomes of 31–33°C, aligning with the market-implied 77.5% chance for 31°C or higher. Historical August averages near 32–33°C provide context, though day-to-day variability from cloud cover or precipitation introduces uncertainty ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions