**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity are moderating daytime heating in Zhengzhou ahead of August 24.** Multiple numerical weather models and official guidance converge on a maximum near 30–31 °C, with an 80–100 % probability of rain or thunderstorms that will reduce incoming solar radiation and cap the peak. Dew points near 25–27 °C and light northeasterly flow further limit surface warming by maintaining high boundary-layer moisture. Recent synoptic evolution shows the subtropical high shifting and low-level troughs increasing convective activity across the North China Plain, consistent with the pattern that kept highs at or below 33 °C through late August. Ensemble spread and timing differences in precipitation explain why markets price 31 °C and 32 °C or higher as nearly equal favorites: a few hours of earlier clearing could push readings to 32 °C, while prolonged rain would hold the maximum closer to 30 °C. Official verification will come from the Zhengzhou meteorological station’s daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
32°C or higher 64%
31°C 41%
30°C 14%
29°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
14%
31°C
41%
32°C or higher
44%
32°C or higher 64%
31°C 41%
30°C 14%
29°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$220 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$64 Vol.
1%
30°C
$6 Vol.
14%
31°C
$0 Vol.
41%
32°C or higher
$8 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity are moderating daytime heating in Zhengzhou ahead of August 24.** Multiple numerical weather models and official guidance converge on a maximum near 30–31 °C, with an 80–100 % probability of rain or thunderstorms that will reduce incoming solar radiation and cap the peak. Dew points near 25–27 °C and light northeasterly flow further limit surface warming by maintaining high boundary-layer moisture.
Recent synoptic evolution shows the subtropical high shifting and low-level troughs increasing convective activity across the North China Plain, consistent with the pattern that kept highs at or below 33 °C through late August. Ensemble spread and timing differences in precipitation explain why markets price 31 °C and 32 °C or higher as nearly equal favorites: a few hours of earlier clearing could push readings to 32 °C, while prolonged rain would hold the maximum closer to 30 °C. Official verification will come from the Zhengzhou meteorological station’s daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$768End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity are moderating daytime heating in Zhengzhou ahead of August 24.** Multiple numerical weather models and official guidance converge on a maximum near 30–31 °C, with an 80–100 % probability of rain or thunderstorms that will reduce incoming solar radiation and cap the peak. Dew points near 25–27 °C and light northeasterly flow further limit surface warming by maintaining high boundary-layer moisture.
Recent synoptic evolution shows the subtropical high shifting and low-level troughs increasing convective activity across the North China Plain, consistent with the pattern that kept highs at or below 33 °C through late August. Ensemble spread and timing differences in precipitation explain why markets price 31 °C and 32 °C or higher as nearly equal favorites: a few hours of earlier clearing could push readings to 32 °C, while prolonged rain would hold the maximum closer to 30 °C. Official verification will come from the Zhengzhou meteorological station’s daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$768End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity are moderating daytime heating in Zhengzhou ahead of August 24.** Multiple numerical weather models and official guidance converge on a maximum near 30–31 °C, with an 80–100 % probability of rain or thunderstorms that will reduce incoming solar radiation and cap the peak. Dew points near 25–27 °C and light northeasterly flow further limit surface warming by maintaining high boundary-layer moisture. Recent synoptic evolution shows the subtropical high shifting and low-level troughs increasing convective activity across the North China Plain, consistent with the pattern that kept highs at or below 33 °C through late August. Ensemble spread and timing differences in precipitation explain why markets price 31 °C and 32 °C or higher as nearly equal favorites: a few hours of earlier clearing could push readings to 32 °C, while prolonged rain would hold the maximum closer to 30 °C. Official verification will come from the Zhengzhou meteorological station’s daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions