Forecast consensus from meteorological models and local observations supports near-certainty of a daily maximum reaching or exceeding 32°C in Zhengzhou on August 23, driven by persistent summer warmth, partly cloudy skies, and limited precipitation that allows strong solar heating under typical August climatology for the region. Official projections place the high near 32–33°C amid moderate humidity and light northeasterly winds, consistent with seasonal baselines where daily maxima often climb into the low 30s. Trader positioning reflects this model agreement and current observations already approaching those thresholds. Realistic challenges include rapid increases in cloud cover or convective rainfall that could cap heating below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 23?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 23?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$7,323 Vol.
$7,323 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$7,323 Vol.
$7,323 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
$310 Vol.
No
23°C
$310 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,285 Vol.
No
25°C
$235 Vol.
No
26°C
$235 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,068 Vol.
No
28°C
$235 Vol.
No
29°C
$292 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,018 Vol.
No
31°C
$603 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$732 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological models and local observations supports near-certainty of a daily maximum reaching or exceeding 32°C in Zhengzhou on August 23, driven by persistent summer warmth, partly cloudy skies, and limited precipitation that allows strong solar heating under typical August climatology for the region. Official projections place the high near 32–33°C amid moderate humidity and light northeasterly winds, consistent with seasonal baselines where daily maxima often climb into the low 30s. Trader positioning reflects this model agreement and current observations already approaching those thresholds. Realistic challenges include rapid increases in cloud cover or convective rainfall that could cap heating below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$7,323End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological models and local observations supports near-certainty of a daily maximum reaching or exceeding 32°C in Zhengzhou on August 23, driven by persistent summer warmth, partly cloudy skies, and limited precipitation that allows strong solar heating under typical August climatology for the region. Official projections place the high near 32–33°C amid moderate humidity and light northeasterly winds, consistent with seasonal baselines where daily maxima often climb into the low 30s. Trader positioning reflects this model agreement and current observations already approaching those thresholds. Realistic challenges include rapid increases in cloud cover or convective rainfall that could cap heating below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,323End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Forecast consensus from meteorological models and local observations supports near-certainty of a daily maximum reaching or exceeding 32°C in Zhengzhou on August 23, driven by persistent summer warmth, partly cloudy skies, and limited precipitation that allows strong solar heating under typical August climatology for the region. Official projections place the high near 32–33°C amid moderate humidity and light northeasterly winds, consistent with seasonal baselines where daily maxima often climb into the low 30s. Trader positioning reflects this model agreement and current observations already approaching those thresholds. Realistic challenges include rapid increases in cloud cover or convective rainfall that could cap heating below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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