Current forecast models from the BBC, Met Office, and regional sources project overnight lows of 24–26°C in Zhengzhou for August 24 amid light northeasterly winds, typical late-summer humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and scattered showers, supporting the market's 50% implied probability on 25°C or higher as the leading outcome. These conditions align with historical August climatology showing average minima near 23–25°C and limited diurnal cooling under cloudy or showery skies. No major cold-air intrusions or model consensus shifts appear in recent runs, keeping lower bins like 23°C or 24°C at 26–27% while colder thresholds below 20°C remain low-probability outliers. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight minimum will be the key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
21°C 51%
22°C 51%
25°C or higher 50%
18°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
11%
16°C
6%
17°C
3%
18°C
45%
19°C
<1%
20°C
45%
21°C
51%
22°C
51%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C or higher
50%
21°C 51%
22°C 51%
25°C or higher 50%
18°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
$25 Vol.
11%
16°C
$25 Vol.
6%
17°C
$155 Vol.
3%
18°C
$25 Vol.
45%
19°C
$43 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$25 Vol.
45%
21°C
$25 Vol.
51%
22°C
$25 Vol.
51%
23°C
$30 Vol.
26%
24°C
$6 Vol.
27%
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the BBC, Met Office, and regional sources project overnight lows of 24–26°C in Zhengzhou for August 24 amid light northeasterly winds, typical late-summer humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and scattered showers, supporting the market's 50% implied probability on 25°C or higher as the leading outcome. These conditions align with historical August climatology showing average minima near 23–25°C and limited diurnal cooling under cloudy or showery skies. No major cold-air intrusions or model consensus shifts appear in recent runs, keeping lower bins like 23°C or 24°C at 26–27% while colder thresholds below 20°C remain low-probability outliers. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight minimum will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$380End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the BBC, Met Office, and regional sources project overnight lows of 24–26°C in Zhengzhou for August 24 amid light northeasterly winds, typical late-summer humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and scattered showers, supporting the market's 50% implied probability on 25°C or higher as the leading outcome. These conditions align with historical August climatology showing average minima near 23–25°C and limited diurnal cooling under cloudy or showery skies. No major cold-air intrusions or model consensus shifts appear in recent runs, keeping lower bins like 23°C or 24°C at 26–27% while colder thresholds below 20°C remain low-probability outliers. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight minimum will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$380End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the BBC, Met Office, and regional sources project overnight lows of 24–26°C in Zhengzhou for August 24 amid light northeasterly winds, typical late-summer humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and scattered showers, supporting the market's 50% implied probability on 25°C or higher as the leading outcome. These conditions align with historical August climatology showing average minima near 23–25°C and limited diurnal cooling under cloudy or showery skies. No major cold-air intrusions or model consensus shifts appear in recent runs, keeping lower bins like 23°C or 24°C at 26–27% while colder thresholds below 20°C remain low-probability outliers. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight minimum will be the key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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