Recent forecasts for Zhengzhou show overnight lows stabilizing near 24–26°C on August 23 under typical late-summer conditions driven by the East Asian monsoon, scattered thundery showers, northeasterly winds, and cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling amid high humidity. Official model consensus from sources such as the National Meteorological Center aligns with these ranges, reinforcing trader-implied odds of 99% for a minimum of 25°C or higher. This positioning reflects observed early-morning readings already near or above that threshold and historical August climatology with average lows around 24–25°C. Only an unseasonal cold front or major model error could realistically lower readings enough to challenge the dominant outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 23?
25°C or higher 100.0%
$776 Vol.
$776 Vol.
25°C or higher
100%
25°C or higher 100.0%
$776 Vol.
$776 Vol.
25°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Zhengzhou show overnight lows stabilizing near 24–26°C on August 23 under typical late-summer conditions driven by the East Asian monsoon, scattered thundery showers, northeasterly winds, and cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling amid high humidity. Official model consensus from sources such as the National Meteorological Center aligns with these ranges, reinforcing trader-implied odds of 99% for a minimum of 25°C or higher. This positioning reflects observed early-morning readings already near or above that threshold and historical August climatology with average lows around 24–25°C. Only an unseasonal cold front or major model error could realistically lower readings enough to challenge the dominant outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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