**Persistent heat and high minimum temperatures under clear, calm conditions are driving trader focus on the 78–79°F and adjacent bins for Houston’s August 24 minimum, even as forecasts point to overnight lows near 80–81°F.** National Weather Service guidance and multiple models show mostly clear skies, light southwest winds, and a strong heat dome maintaining elevated overnight readings, with dew points in the mid-70s limiting radiative cooling. This pattern aligns with the recent stretch of very warm nights (lows 74–80°F) amid an ongoing heat advisory. Historical August 24 averages near 76°F provide context, but 2026’s above-normal warmth has shifted expectations higher. Model consensus remains tight on no significant cooling overnight, though minor variations in urban heat-island effects or exact station measurement could influence the final recorded low. No major weather changes are expected before resolution, keeping the scientific outlook consistent with the warmer outcome buckets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 24?
69°F or below 83%
78-79°F 44%
76-77°F 20%
74-75°F 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
83%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
51%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
69°F or below 83%
78-79°F 44%
76-77°F 20%
74-75°F 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
$10 Vol.
83%
70-71°F
$204 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$79 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$60 Vol.
17%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
20%
78-79°F
$12 Vol.
51%
80-81°F
$85 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$317 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$200 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$205 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$402 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent heat and high minimum temperatures under clear, calm conditions are driving trader focus on the 78–79°F and adjacent bins for Houston’s August 24 minimum, even as forecasts point to overnight lows near 80–81°F.**
National Weather Service guidance and multiple models show mostly clear skies, light southwest winds, and a strong heat dome maintaining elevated overnight readings, with dew points in the mid-70s limiting radiative cooling. This pattern aligns with the recent stretch of very warm nights (lows 74–80°F) amid an ongoing heat advisory. Historical August 24 averages near 76°F provide context, but 2026’s above-normal warmth has shifted expectations higher. Model consensus remains tight on no significant cooling overnight, though minor variations in urban heat-island effects or exact station measurement could influence the final recorded low. No major weather changes are expected before resolution, keeping the scientific outlook consistent with the warmer outcome buckets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,574End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent heat and high minimum temperatures under clear, calm conditions are driving trader focus on the 78–79°F and adjacent bins for Houston’s August 24 minimum, even as forecasts point to overnight lows near 80–81°F.**
National Weather Service guidance and multiple models show mostly clear skies, light southwest winds, and a strong heat dome maintaining elevated overnight readings, with dew points in the mid-70s limiting radiative cooling. This pattern aligns with the recent stretch of very warm nights (lows 74–80°F) amid an ongoing heat advisory. Historical August 24 averages near 76°F provide context, but 2026’s above-normal warmth has shifted expectations higher. Model consensus remains tight on no significant cooling overnight, though minor variations in urban heat-island effects or exact station measurement could influence the final recorded low. No major weather changes are expected before resolution, keeping the scientific outlook consistent with the warmer outcome buckets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,574End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent heat and high minimum temperatures under clear, calm conditions are driving trader focus on the 78–79°F and adjacent bins for Houston’s August 24 minimum, even as forecasts point to overnight lows near 80–81°F.** National Weather Service guidance and multiple models show mostly clear skies, light southwest winds, and a strong heat dome maintaining elevated overnight readings, with dew points in the mid-70s limiting radiative cooling. This pattern aligns with the recent stretch of very warm nights (lows 74–80°F) amid an ongoing heat advisory. Historical August 24 averages near 76°F provide context, but 2026’s above-normal warmth has shifted expectations higher. Model consensus remains tight on no significant cooling overnight, though minor variations in urban heat-island effects or exact station measurement could influence the final recorded low. No major weather changes are expected before resolution, keeping the scientific outlook consistent with the warmer outcome buckets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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