**Forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and other models place Lucknow’s minimum temperature for August 24, 2026, near 26–27 °C under generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers.** These conditions—typical of the active southwest monsoon—limit radiational cooling overnight while daytime cloud cover and precipitation keep the air mass relatively stable. Historical August lows average around 26 °C, and recent observations show minima of 25–27 °C with modest departures from normal. Model consensus and official guidance favor 27 °C as the most probable recorded minimum at the primary IMD station, supporting the 59 % market-implied probability, while residual uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and intensity sustains meaningful odds for 25 °C. No extreme deviations or major forecast shifts have emerged in the latest updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 24?
27°C 97%
26°C 21%
23°C 2%
24°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
21%
27°C
97%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 97%
26°C 21%
23°C 2%
24°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$32 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$160 Vol.
2%
24°C
$86 Vol.
1%
25°C
$92 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$47 Vol.
97%
28°C
$381 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$379 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$245 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and other models place Lucknow’s minimum temperature for August 24, 2026, near 26–27 °C under generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers.**
These conditions—typical of the active southwest monsoon—limit radiational cooling overnight while daytime cloud cover and precipitation keep the air mass relatively stable. Historical August lows average around 26 °C, and recent observations show minima of 25–27 °C with modest departures from normal.
Model consensus and official guidance favor 27 °C as the most probable recorded minimum at the primary IMD station, supporting the 59 % market-implied probability, while residual uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and intensity sustains meaningful odds for 25 °C. No extreme deviations or major forecast shifts have emerged in the latest updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,725End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and other models place Lucknow’s minimum temperature for August 24, 2026, near 26–27 °C under generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers.**
These conditions—typical of the active southwest monsoon—limit radiational cooling overnight while daytime cloud cover and precipitation keep the air mass relatively stable. Historical August lows average around 26 °C, and recent observations show minima of 25–27 °C with modest departures from normal.
Model consensus and official guidance favor 27 °C as the most probable recorded minimum at the primary IMD station, supporting the 59 % market-implied probability, while residual uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and intensity sustains meaningful odds for 25 °C. No extreme deviations or major forecast shifts have emerged in the latest updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,725End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and other models place Lucknow’s minimum temperature for August 24, 2026, near 26–27 °C under generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers.** These conditions—typical of the active southwest monsoon—limit radiational cooling overnight while daytime cloud cover and precipitation keep the air mass relatively stable. Historical August lows average around 26 °C, and recent observations show minima of 25–27 °C with modest departures from normal. Model consensus and official guidance favor 27 °C as the most probable recorded minimum at the primary IMD station, supporting the 59 % market-implied probability, while residual uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and intensity sustains meaningful odds for 25 °C. No extreme deviations or major forecast shifts have emerged in the latest updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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