Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate Miami's overnight low on August 24 will most likely reach the upper 70s under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity near 80-90%, light southeast winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate radiative cooling. This setup aligns with August climatology, where daily lows average around 78°F at Miami International Airport, rarely dropping below 74°F without stronger northerly flow or clear, drier air. Trader emphasis on the 78-79°F outcome reflects minor forecast spreads in cloud timing and dew-point persistence, with resolution depending on official minimum observations through midnight. New model runs or real-time surface data could refine probabilities before final measurement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 24?
78-79°F 86%
76-77°F 11%
74-75°F 5%
72-73°F 2.6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
86%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 86%
76-77°F 11%
74-75°F 5%
72-73°F 2.6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
$39 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$39 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$520 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$165 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$80 Vol.
11%
78-79°F
$272 Vol.
86%
80-81°F
$976 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$876 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$189 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$299 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$199 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate Miami's overnight low on August 24 will most likely reach the upper 70s under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity near 80-90%, light southeast winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate radiative cooling. This setup aligns with August climatology, where daily lows average around 78°F at Miami International Airport, rarely dropping below 74°F without stronger northerly flow or clear, drier air. Trader emphasis on the 78-79°F outcome reflects minor forecast spreads in cloud timing and dew-point persistence, with resolution depending on official minimum observations through midnight. New model runs or real-time surface data could refine probabilities before final measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$3,653End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate Miami's overnight low on August 24 will most likely reach the upper 70s under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity near 80-90%, light southeast winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate radiative cooling. This setup aligns with August climatology, where daily lows average around 78°F at Miami International Airport, rarely dropping below 74°F without stronger northerly flow or clear, drier air. Trader emphasis on the 78-79°F outcome reflects minor forecast spreads in cloud timing and dew-point persistence, with resolution depending on official minimum observations through midnight. New model runs or real-time surface data could refine probabilities before final measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,653End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate Miami's overnight low on August 24 will most likely reach the upper 70s under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity near 80-90%, light southeast winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate radiative cooling. This setup aligns with August climatology, where daily lows average around 78°F at Miami International Airport, rarely dropping below 74°F without stronger northerly flow or clear, drier air. Trader emphasis on the 78-79°F outcome reflects minor forecast spreads in cloud timing and dew-point persistence, with resolution depending on official minimum observations through midnight. New model runs or real-time surface data could refine probabilities before final measurement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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