Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies tracking the Po Valley region indicate radiative cooling under partly clear skies will produce a daily minimum near 18°C in Milan on August 24. This aligns with the preceding nights' readings of 16–18°C amid light easterly winds and dew points around 18°C that limit further drops. Trader consensus at 97% for 18°C reflects high confidence in these stable late-summer patterns, with historical August lows averaging near this value. Only significant overnight cloud cover, increased humidity, or a shift in steering winds could realistically push the recorded minimum to 17°C or below.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on August 24?
18°C 98%
17°C 1.5%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
98%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 98%
17°C 1.5%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
98%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies tracking the Po Valley region indicate radiative cooling under partly clear skies will produce a daily minimum near 18°C in Milan on August 24. This aligns with the preceding nights' readings of 16–18°C amid light easterly winds and dew points around 18°C that limit further drops. Trader consensus at 97% for 18°C reflects high confidence in these stable late-summer patterns, with historical August lows averaging near this value. Only significant overnight cloud cover, increased humidity, or a shift in steering winds could realistically push the recorded minimum to 17°C or below.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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