Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate an overnight low near 11°C for Moscow on August 24 amid cloudy skies, scattered rain, and southwesterly winds of 6–11 m/s with gusts to 15 m/s, keeping temperatures from dropping further. These conditions align closely with the long-term climatological average low of 11.8°C for the date and recent model consensus from sources like GFS, which project minimums of 11–13°C (roughly 52–55°F) under similar pressure and moisture patterns. Trader positioning heavily favors 11°C and 10°C outcomes because current observational trends and steering flows show limited potential for clearer skies or stronger radiational cooling that would push readings to 9°C or below, though minor forecast revisions overnight could still influence final recorded values.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
11°C 74%
9°C or below 45%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
45%
10°C
34%
11°C
50%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
11°C 74%
9°C or below 45%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$52 Vol.
45%
10°C
$12 Vol.
34%
11°C
$27 Vol.
50%
12°C
$438 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$401 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$350 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$978 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$250 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate an overnight low near 11°C for Moscow on August 24 amid cloudy skies, scattered rain, and southwesterly winds of 6–11 m/s with gusts to 15 m/s, keeping temperatures from dropping further. These conditions align closely with the long-term climatological average low of 11.8°C for the date and recent model consensus from sources like GFS, which project minimums of 11–13°C (roughly 52–55°F) under similar pressure and moisture patterns. Trader positioning heavily favors 11°C and 10°C outcomes because current observational trends and steering flows show limited potential for clearer skies or stronger radiational cooling that would push readings to 9°C or below, though minor forecast revisions overnight could still influence final recorded values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,251End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate an overnight low near 11°C for Moscow on August 24 amid cloudy skies, scattered rain, and southwesterly winds of 6–11 m/s with gusts to 15 m/s, keeping temperatures from dropping further. These conditions align closely with the long-term climatological average low of 11.8°C for the date and recent model consensus from sources like GFS, which project minimums of 11–13°C (roughly 52–55°F) under similar pressure and moisture patterns. Trader positioning heavily favors 11°C and 10°C outcomes because current observational trends and steering flows show limited potential for clearer skies or stronger radiational cooling that would push readings to 9°C or below, though minor forecast revisions overnight could still influence final recorded values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,251End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate an overnight low near 11°C for Moscow on August 24 amid cloudy skies, scattered rain, and southwesterly winds of 6–11 m/s with gusts to 15 m/s, keeping temperatures from dropping further. These conditions align closely with the long-term climatological average low of 11.8°C for the date and recent model consensus from sources like GFS, which project minimums of 11–13°C (roughly 52–55°F) under similar pressure and moisture patterns. Trader positioning heavily favors 11°C and 10°C outcomes because current observational trends and steering flows show limited potential for clearer skies or stronger radiational cooling that would push readings to 9°C or below, though minor forecast revisions overnight could still influence final recorded values.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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