Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon on August 26 indicate a minimum near 24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and modest humidity, driving the tight 25°C (38%) and 26°C (37%) market lead. Overnight radiative cooling will be limited by cloud cover reducing longwave heat loss, while the urban heat island and marine influence from the Yellow Sea further moderate lows compared to inland sites. Model consensus shows limited diurnal range around 32°C highs, with small variations in timing of any clearing or moisture advection able to shift the recorded minimum by 1°C. Historical late-August climatology supports this range, though ensemble spread leaves room for 24°C or 27°C outcomes depending on final observational data from the Incheon station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
25°C 38%
26°C 35%
27°C 19%
24°C 12%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C
12%
25°C
38%
26°C
37%
27°C
19%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
25°C 38%
26°C 35%
27°C 19%
24°C 12%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C
12%
25°C
38%
26°C
37%
27°C
19%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon on August 26 indicate a minimum near 24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and modest humidity, driving the tight 25°C (38%) and 26°C (37%) market lead. Overnight radiative cooling will be limited by cloud cover reducing longwave heat loss, while the urban heat island and marine influence from the Yellow Sea further moderate lows compared to inland sites. Model consensus shows limited diurnal range around 32°C highs, with small variations in timing of any clearing or moisture advection able to shift the recorded minimum by 1°C. Historical late-August climatology supports this range, though ensemble spread leaves room for 24°C or 27°C outcomes depending on final observational data from the Incheon station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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