Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, converge on an overnight minimum of 27°C for Shanghai on August 24 under partly cloudy skies, moderate southeast winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Historical analogs for late August show typical lows near 26–27°C, aligning with current observational trends of 26–28°C during recent nights. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for 27°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow expected range. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clear-sky period or wind shift enabling additional cooling below 26°C, though ensemble guidance assigns low odds to such deviations before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
27°C 97%
26°C 2%
28°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEW
$12,330 Vol.
NEW
$12,330 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
97%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 97%
26°C 2%
28°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEW
$12,330 Vol.
NEW
$12,330 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$159 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$411 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,244 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,923 Vol.
2%
27°C
$2,643 Vol.
97%
28°C
$3,925 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,154 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$220 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, converge on an overnight minimum of 27°C for Shanghai on August 24 under partly cloudy skies, moderate southeast winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Historical analogs for late August show typical lows near 26–27°C, aligning with current observational trends of 26–28°C during recent nights. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for 27°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow expected range. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clear-sky period or wind shift enabling additional cooling below 26°C, though ensemble guidance assigns low odds to such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,330End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, converge on an overnight minimum of 27°C for Shanghai on August 24 under partly cloudy skies, moderate southeast winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Historical analogs for late August show typical lows near 26–27°C, aligning with current observational trends of 26–28°C during recent nights. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for 27°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow expected range. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clear-sky period or wind shift enabling additional cooling below 26°C, though ensemble guidance assigns low odds to such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,330End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, converge on an overnight minimum of 27°C for Shanghai on August 24 under partly cloudy skies, moderate southeast winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. Historical analogs for late August show typical lows near 26–27°C, aligning with current observational trends of 26–28°C during recent nights. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for 27°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow expected range. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clear-sky period or wind shift enabling additional cooling below 26°C, though ensemble guidance assigns low odds to such deviations before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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