**Traders have converged on 27°C as the overwhelming favorite (97% implied probability) for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 24, 2026, because multiple official and model forecasts consistently project an overnight minimum in the 26–28°C range.** Current surface observations from Shanghai stations show nighttime readings near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly flow and high humidity, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Numerical weather models maintain this narrow band through the resolution window, with limited spread and no signals for significant advection of cooler air or rapid radiative cooling. A shift to 26°C or 28°C would require an unexpected deviation in the steering pattern or measurement at a specific official station, but the tight consensus across authoritative sources leaves little room for such outcomes before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
27°C 97%
26°C 2%
28°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEW
$11,922 Vol.
NEW
$11,922 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
97%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 97%
26°C 2%
28°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEW
$11,922 Vol.
NEW
$11,922 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$159 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$411 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$836 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,923 Vol.
2%
27°C
$2,643 Vol.
97%
28°C
$3,925 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,154 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$220 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on 27°C as the overwhelming favorite (97% implied probability) for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 24, 2026, because multiple official and model forecasts consistently project an overnight minimum in the 26–28°C range.** Current surface observations from Shanghai stations show nighttime readings near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly flow and high humidity, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Numerical weather models maintain this narrow band through the resolution window, with limited spread and no signals for significant advection of cooler air or rapid radiative cooling. A shift to 26°C or 28°C would require an unexpected deviation in the steering pattern or measurement at a specific official station, but the tight consensus across authoritative sources leaves little room for such outcomes before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$11,922End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on 27°C as the overwhelming favorite (97% implied probability) for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 24, 2026, because multiple official and model forecasts consistently project an overnight minimum in the 26–28°C range.** Current surface observations from Shanghai stations show nighttime readings near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly flow and high humidity, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Numerical weather models maintain this narrow band through the resolution window, with limited spread and no signals for significant advection of cooler air or rapid radiative cooling. A shift to 26°C or 28°C would require an unexpected deviation in the steering pattern or measurement at a specific official station, but the tight consensus across authoritative sources leaves little room for such outcomes before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,922End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Traders have converged on 27°C as the overwhelming favorite (97% implied probability) for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 24, 2026, because multiple official and model forecasts consistently project an overnight minimum in the 26–28°C range.** Current surface observations from Shanghai stations show nighttime readings near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly flow and high humidity, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Numerical weather models maintain this narrow band through the resolution window, with limited spread and no signals for significant advection of cooler air or rapid radiative cooling. A shift to 26°C or 28°C would require an unexpected deviation in the steering pattern or measurement at a specific official station, but the tight consensus across authoritative sources leaves little room for such outcomes before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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