Forecast models from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on September 16 will likely settle near 23–24°C under clear skies and light northerly winds typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Trader positioning remains closely split because small differences in dew-point recovery, urban heat-island effects, or the precise timing of the coolest hour can shift the recorded low across the 24°C versus sub-20°C thresholds. Historical September minima average around 22–23°C, providing context for the tight market spread, while upcoming official hourly observations from Tel Aviv stations will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 16?
20°C or below 92%
23°C 45%
21°C 9%
22°C 9%
$737 Vol.
$737 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
92%
21°C
9%
22°C
9%
23°C
45%
24°C
-
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 92%
23°C 45%
21°C 9%
22°C 9%
$737 Vol.
$737 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
$108 Vol.
92%
21°C
$62 Vol.
9%
22°C
$23 Vol.
9%
23°C
$149 Vol.
45%
24°C
$56 Vol.
-
25°C
$213 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$42 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on September 16 will likely settle near 23–24°C under clear skies and light northerly winds typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Trader positioning remains closely split because small differences in dew-point recovery, urban heat-island effects, or the precise timing of the coolest hour can shift the recorded low across the 24°C versus sub-20°C thresholds. Historical September minima average around 22–23°C, providing context for the tight market spread, while upcoming official hourly observations from Tel Aviv stations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$737End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on September 16 will likely settle near 23–24°C under clear skies and light northerly winds typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Trader positioning remains closely split because small differences in dew-point recovery, urban heat-island effects, or the precise timing of the coolest hour can shift the recorded low across the 24°C versus sub-20°C thresholds. Historical September minima average around 22–23°C, providing context for the tight market spread, while upcoming official hourly observations from Tel Aviv stations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$737End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on September 16 will likely settle near 23–24°C under clear skies and light northerly winds typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Trader positioning remains closely split because small differences in dew-point recovery, urban heat-island effects, or the precise timing of the coolest hour can shift the recorded low across the 24°C versus sub-20°C thresholds. Historical September minima average around 22–23°C, providing context for the tight market spread, while upcoming official hourly observations from Tel Aviv stations will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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