Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service, point to minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 18 likely falling in the 24–26°C range amid partly cloudy conditions and a chance of scattered showers. These outcomes balance competing factors such as elevated humidity and light westerly winds that could enhance nocturnal cooling versus persistent sea-breeze effects and limited cloud cover that may keep overnight lows closer to seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes, underscores genuine short-term forecast uncertainty typical two days ahead, with resolution hinging on updated model guidance and official observations expected over the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 18?
20°C or below 98%
30°C or higher 98%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
98%
21°C
32%
22°C
39%
23°C
38%
24°C
21%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
21%
28°C
37%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
98%
20°C or below 98%
30°C or higher 98%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
98%
21°C
$0 Vol.
32%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
38%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
40%
26°C
$0 Vol.
40%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$0 Vol.
37%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service, point to minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 18 likely falling in the 24–26°C range amid partly cloudy conditions and a chance of scattered showers. These outcomes balance competing factors such as elevated humidity and light westerly winds that could enhance nocturnal cooling versus persistent sea-breeze effects and limited cloud cover that may keep overnight lows closer to seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes, underscores genuine short-term forecast uncertainty typical two days ahead, with resolution hinging on updated model guidance and official observations expected over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service, point to minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 18 likely falling in the 24–26°C range amid partly cloudy conditions and a chance of scattered showers. These outcomes balance competing factors such as elevated humidity and light westerly winds that could enhance nocturnal cooling versus persistent sea-breeze effects and limited cloud cover that may keep overnight lows closer to seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes, underscores genuine short-term forecast uncertainty typical two days ahead, with resolution hinging on updated model guidance and official observations expected over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service, point to minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on September 18 likely falling in the 24–26°C range amid partly cloudy conditions and a chance of scattered showers. These outcomes balance competing factors such as elevated humidity and light westerly winds that could enhance nocturnal cooling versus persistent sea-breeze effects and limited cloud cover that may keep overnight lows closer to seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes, underscores genuine short-term forecast uncertainty typical two days ahead, with resolution hinging on updated model guidance and official observations expected over the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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