**Clear skies and light winds overnight are positioning 23°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s minimum temperature on September 17.** Official forecasts and model consensus indicate the overnight low will occur in the early morning hours under high pressure, with radiative cooling under minimal cloud cover and northerly flow around 2–4 m/s. Hourly guidance from multiple sources shows temperatures falling to 22–24°C between 04:00–08:00 local time, consistent with September climatology where the daily minimum averages near 23°C. Recent model runs have shown little shift, supporting the market’s concentration around 23–24°C while assigning lower probability to outliers below 22°C or above 25°C. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies remains the key near-term catalyst ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 17?
23°C 42%
26°C 40%
24°C 22%
25°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
13%
21°C
<1%
22°C
21%
23°C
40%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
40%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
23°C 42%
26°C 40%
24°C 22%
25°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
19°C or below
$41 Vol.
1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
13%
21°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$121 Vol.
21%
23°C
$10 Vol.
40%
24°C
$9 Vol.
22%
25°C
$11 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
40%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$41 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light winds overnight are positioning 23°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s minimum temperature on September 17.** Official forecasts and model consensus indicate the overnight low will occur in the early morning hours under high pressure, with radiative cooling under minimal cloud cover and northerly flow around 2–4 m/s. Hourly guidance from multiple sources shows temperatures falling to 22–24°C between 04:00–08:00 local time, consistent with September climatology where the daily minimum averages near 23°C. Recent model runs have shown little shift, supporting the market’s concentration around 23–24°C while assigning lower probability to outliers below 22°C or above 25°C. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies remains the key near-term catalyst ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$492End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light winds overnight are positioning 23°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s minimum temperature on September 17.** Official forecasts and model consensus indicate the overnight low will occur in the early morning hours under high pressure, with radiative cooling under minimal cloud cover and northerly flow around 2–4 m/s. Hourly guidance from multiple sources shows temperatures falling to 22–24°C between 04:00–08:00 local time, consistent with September climatology where the daily minimum averages near 23°C. Recent model runs have shown little shift, supporting the market’s concentration around 23–24°C while assigning lower probability to outliers below 22°C or above 25°C. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies remains the key near-term catalyst ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$492End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light winds overnight are positioning 23°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s minimum temperature on September 17.** Official forecasts and model consensus indicate the overnight low will occur in the early morning hours under high pressure, with radiative cooling under minimal cloud cover and northerly flow around 2–4 m/s. Hourly guidance from multiple sources shows temperatures falling to 22–24°C between 04:00–08:00 local time, consistent with September climatology where the daily minimum averages near 23°C. Recent model runs have shown little shift, supporting the market’s concentration around 23–24°C while assigning lower probability to outliers below 22°C or above 25°C. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies remains the key near-term catalyst ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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