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Politics·Brazil

Mato Grosso do Sul Governor Election Winner

icon for Mato Grosso do Sul Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Mato Grosso do Sul Governor Election Winner

Eduardo Riedel 92%

Economista Renato Gomes 1.4%

Delcidio Amaral <1%

João Henrique Catan <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Eduardo Riedel 92%

Economista Renato Gomes 1.4%

Delcidio Amaral <1%

João Henrique Catan <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Eduardo Riedel

Eduardo Riedel

$2,832 Vol.

92%

icon for Economista Renato Gomes

Economista Renato Gomes

$247 Vol.

1%

icon for Delcidio Amaral

Delcidio Amaral

$346 Vol.

1%

icon for João Henrique Catan

João Henrique Catan

$262 Vol.

1%

icon for Fábio Trad

Fábio Trad

$299 Vol.

1%

icon for Jeferson Bezerra

Jeferson Bezerra

$379 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Lemes

Daniel Lemes

$265 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucien Rezende

Lucien Rezende

$365 Vol.

<1%

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent governor of Mato Grosso do Sul running for re-election on the PP ticket, holds a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, gubernatorial race due to his broad coalition of nine parties, including recent PL backing, and consistent polling showing him near 45% in the first round against a fragmented field. His administration's approval ratings near 70% and control of state resources have consolidated support across center-right groups ahead of the campaign's formal start in mid-August. Traders price other candidates, such as Fábio Trad of the PT and João Henrique Catan of Novo, far behind. Late-campaign developments like scandals, health issues, major alliance shifts, or unexpected turnout changes could still alter first-round dynamics before market resolution.

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$4,996
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent governor of Mato Grosso do Sul running for re-election on the PP ticket, holds a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, gubernatorial race due to his broad coalition of nine parties, including recent PL backing, and consistent polling showing him near 45% in the first round against a fragmented field. His administration's approval ratings near 70% and control of state resources have consolidated support across center-right groups ahead of the campaign's formal start in mid-August. Traders price other candidates, such as Fábio Trad of the PT and João Henrique Catan of Novo, far behind. Late-campaign developments like scandals, health issues, major alliance shifts, or unexpected turnout changes could still alter first-round dynamics before market resolution.

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$4,996
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Mato Grosso do Sul Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eduardo Riedel" at 92%, followed by "Economista Renato Gomes" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Mato Grosso do Sul Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Mato Grosso do Sul Governor Election Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Mato Grosso do Sul Governor Election Winner" is "Eduardo Riedel" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Economista Renato Gomes" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Mato Grosso do Sul Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.