In the crowded Paraná Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, recent Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas polls show a statistical tie among leading contenders, with Deltan Dallagnol (Novo) slightly ahead numerically followed closely by Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Cristina Reis Graeml (PSD). This fragmentation on the right, where Barros and others compete for overlapping conservative voters, combined with legal eligibility questions around Dallagnol and undecided blocs, keeps second-place probabilities compressed. Trader consensus reflects ongoing campaign momentum, party alliances, and the absence of decisive late-August shifts that could consolidate support or alter turnout dynamics before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFilipe Barros 39%
Deltan Dallagnol 30%
Alexandre Curi 21%
Cristina Reis Graeml 10%
$12,688 Vol.
$12,688 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Filipe Barros
39%
Deltan Dallagnol
30%
Alexandre Curi
21%
Cristina Reis Graeml
10%
Gleisi
2%
Marcelo Marcelino
1%
Dr. Rosinha
1%
Joaquim do MLB
1%
Karen Guerreiro
<1%
Filipe Barros 39%
Deltan Dallagnol 30%
Alexandre Curi 21%
Cristina Reis Graeml 10%
$12,688 Vol.
$12,688 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Filipe Barros
$7,770 Vol.
39%
Deltan Dallagnol
$2,846 Vol.
30%
Alexandre Curi
$1,154 Vol.
21%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$160 Vol.
10%
Gleisi
$119 Vol.
2%
Marcelo Marcelino
$202 Vol.
1%
Dr. Rosinha
$125 Vol.
1%
Joaquim do MLB
$149 Vol.
1%
Karen Guerreiro
$164 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the crowded Paraná Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, recent Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas polls show a statistical tie among leading contenders, with Deltan Dallagnol (Novo) slightly ahead numerically followed closely by Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Cristina Reis Graeml (PSD). This fragmentation on the right, where Barros and others compete for overlapping conservative voters, combined with legal eligibility questions around Dallagnol and undecided blocs, keeps second-place probabilities compressed. Trader consensus reflects ongoing campaign momentum, party alliances, and the absence of decisive late-August shifts that could consolidate support or alter turnout dynamics before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Volume
$12,688End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the crowded Paraná Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, recent Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas polls show a statistical tie among leading contenders, with Deltan Dallagnol (Novo) slightly ahead numerically followed closely by Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Cristina Reis Graeml (PSD). This fragmentation on the right, where Barros and others compete for overlapping conservative voters, combined with legal eligibility questions around Dallagnol and undecided blocs, keeps second-place probabilities compressed. Trader consensus reflects ongoing campaign momentum, party alliances, and the absence of decisive late-August shifts that could consolidate support or alter turnout dynamics before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$12,688End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the crowded Paraná Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, recent Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas polls show a statistical tie among leading contenders, with Deltan Dallagnol (Novo) slightly ahead numerically followed closely by Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Filipe Barros (PL), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Cristina Reis Graeml (PSD). This fragmentation on the right, where Barros and others compete for overlapping conservative voters, combined with legal eligibility questions around Dallagnol and undecided blocs, keeps second-place probabilities compressed. Trader consensus reflects ongoing campaign momentum, party alliances, and the absence of decisive late-August shifts that could consolidate support or alter turnout dynamics before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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