**Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) dominates the Amapá Senate race for first place, with recent polls showing her at 32–61% support in combined first- and second-preference voting, well ahead of incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD) as well as Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), Acácio Favacho (MDB), and lower-polling names.** Her position stems from consistent leads across multiple surveys conducted between June and mid-August 2026, bolstered by her role as state party president, prior 2022 Senate run that nearly secured a seat, and alignment with her husband Dr. Furlan’s leading gubernatorial bid on a PSD-led ticket. The October 4 election requires voters to select two senators, and her margin positions her as the clear frontrunner for the top spot. Other candidates remain fragmented, with no single rival exceeding roughly 40% in the same polling. Trader consensus reflects these established polling trends and the limited time remaining for major shifts before ballots are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRayssa Furlan 89%
Alliny Serrão 2.9%
Randolfe 2.5%
Lucas Barreto 2.4%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Rayssa Furlan
89%
Alliny Serrão
3%
Randolfe
3%
Lucas Barreto
2%
Professor Uzian Pinto
2%
Helio Silva
2%
Acácio Favacho
1%
Capi
1%
Juíza Jô
<1%
Rayssa Furlan 89%
Alliny Serrão 2.9%
Randolfe 2.5%
Lucas Barreto 2.4%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Rayssa Furlan
$3,542 Vol.
89%
Alliny Serrão
$154 Vol.
3%
Randolfe
$154 Vol.
3%
Lucas Barreto
$154 Vol.
2%
Professor Uzian Pinto
$154 Vol.
2%
Helio Silva
$149 Vol.
2%
Acácio Favacho
$154 Vol.
1%
Capi
$269 Vol.
1%
Juíza Jô
$207 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) dominates the Amapá Senate race for first place, with recent polls showing her at 32–61% support in combined first- and second-preference voting, well ahead of incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD) as well as Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), Acácio Favacho (MDB), and lower-polling names.**
Her position stems from consistent leads across multiple surveys conducted between June and mid-August 2026, bolstered by her role as state party president, prior 2022 Senate run that nearly secured a seat, and alignment with her husband Dr. Furlan’s leading gubernatorial bid on a PSD-led ticket. The October 4 election requires voters to select two senators, and her margin positions her as the clear frontrunner for the top spot. Other candidates remain fragmented, with no single rival exceeding roughly 40% in the same polling. Trader consensus reflects these established polling trends and the limited time remaining for major shifts before ballots are cast.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Volume
$4,935End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) dominates the Amapá Senate race for first place, with recent polls showing her at 32–61% support in combined first- and second-preference voting, well ahead of incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD) as well as Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), Acácio Favacho (MDB), and lower-polling names.**
Her position stems from consistent leads across multiple surveys conducted between June and mid-August 2026, bolstered by her role as state party president, prior 2022 Senate run that nearly secured a seat, and alignment with her husband Dr. Furlan’s leading gubernatorial bid on a PSD-led ticket. The October 4 election requires voters to select two senators, and her margin positions her as the clear frontrunner for the top spot. Other candidates remain fragmented, with no single rival exceeding roughly 40% in the same polling. Trader consensus reflects these established polling trends and the limited time remaining for major shifts before ballots are cast.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$4,935End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) dominates the Amapá Senate race for first place, with recent polls showing her at 32–61% support in combined first- and second-preference voting, well ahead of incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD) as well as Alliny Serrão (União Brasil), Acácio Favacho (MDB), and lower-polling names.** Her position stems from consistent leads across multiple surveys conducted between June and mid-August 2026, bolstered by her role as state party president, prior 2022 Senate run that nearly secured a seat, and alignment with her husband Dr. Furlan’s leading gubernatorial bid on a PSD-led ticket. The October 4 election requires voters to select two senators, and her margin positions her as the clear frontrunner for the top spot. Other candidates remain fragmented, with no single rival exceeding roughly 40% in the same polling. Trader consensus reflects these established polling trends and the limited time remaining for major shifts before ballots are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions