Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O’Hare recorded a daily maximum of 77°F on August 23, 2026, reached at 1:13 PM CDT under mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds. This verified reading, five degrees below the 1991–2020 normal of 82°F, directly anchors the market’s 100% consensus on the 76–77°F bin. Surface analysis showed a cooler-than-average airmass with dew points in the 50s and minimal cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Because the event has concluded and NWS climatological reports are final, the outcome is effectively settled; the only realistic challenges would involve rare post-publication revisions to station data or disputes over the precise reporting site, neither of which has occurred.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$37,541 Vol.
$37,541 Vol.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$37,541 Vol.
$37,541 Vol.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O’Hare recorded a daily maximum of 77°F on August 23, 2026, reached at 1:13 PM CDT under mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds. This verified reading, five degrees below the 1991–2020 normal of 82°F, directly anchors the market’s 100% consensus on the 76–77°F bin. Surface analysis showed a cooler-than-average airmass with dew points in the 50s and minimal cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Because the event has concluded and NWS climatological reports are final, the outcome is effectively settled; the only realistic challenges would involve rare post-publication revisions to station data or disputes over the precise reporting site, neither of which has occurred.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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